One final spot in the WNBA Finals is up for grabs as the Minnesota Lynx head back home to host the Connecticut Sun for a win-or-go-home Game 5 at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The winner will meet the New York Liberty as they await their opponent for Game 1 on Thursday, October 10.
But before we get to that, our experts provide their picks and predictions for the decisive Game 5 slated to tip off at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN 2. Continue below for our WNBA picks, predictions, and best bets for Tuesday, October 8.
WNBA Playoffs Best Bets for Tuesday, October 8
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Sun vs. Lynx
Running the points total back.
DeWanna Bonner has cleared this in five of six games in the post-season, and has even gotten over 15.5 in four of six if you'd rather take that at +100.
Bonner is the creator the Sun rely on when the offense breaks down outside of Alyssa Thomas. Bonner has played 46 games this year, including the regular season and playoffs. She has gone over 14.5 in 27 instances, and if there isn't a 14.5 available and you need over 15.5, she has gone went over that 25 times in 46 contests.
Pick: DeWanna Bonner Over 14.5 Points
Sun vs. Lynx
By Joe Dellera
Bonner has been excellent for the Sun throughout this playoff run and I expect her to lay it all out on the floor.
Bonner has played at least 30 minutes in each playoff game this year and has exceeded this 21.5 PR line in 5/6 games with the one miss at 21. When she played at least 30 minutes in the regular season she maintained a 67% hit rate on this prop. Considering she’s seeing about 35 minutes per game we have some wiggle room as well.
Bonner can create for herself and in this series where defense has been critically important, she is a capable defender while also being able to crash the boards with at least 6 rebounds in every game.
I’ll back Bonner to excel in Game 5.
Pick: DeWanna Bonner Over 21.5 PR (-108)
Sun vs. Lynx
AT has gone over this in five of six playoff games, and all overs have been 35 plus.
She will have the ball a ton and might not come off the floor. She has played 36 or more minutes in every playoff game this year, and has logged all 40 minutes twice. Thomas is shooting much more in the playoffs (14 per game) than in the regular season (eight per game) and her points alone have elevated from 10 to 16.
She is more aggressive in the playoffs, and will be the engine behind damn near everything the Sun do, win or lose.
A sprinkle on the triple double will probably be worthwhile, too. Just do it responsibly. As you read this, let's hope there's still a +400 still out there.