Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, highlights his top five WNBA props to target on PrizePicks this Tuesday. He has a 38-12 record on picks he's written about so far this season.
Picks are listed below in order of his confidence, with a 10-rating being the highest. Note that Sean likes to play the following picks as a five-pack, then two- to three-packs based on the props he likes the most, hence why he provides confidence ratings.
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Tuesday WNBA Picks
Kayla McBride (Lynx) Under 15.5 Points
Kayla McBride returns to the lineup after a one-game absence due to a foot injury. The injury may have been an issue for her the past couple of games, considering she only played 25 and 21 minutes while shooting just 6/17 from the field. She's likely playing at less than 100% right now and could see her minutes limited to around 24-27. I'm projecting her closer to 12.5 points.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Natasha Cloud (Mystics) Over 7.5 Points
The Mercury love to push the pace and are below average defensively, which is why the Mystics' implied team total is five points higher than their season average. It's an excellent matchup for Natasha Cloud, who relies on either driving to the basket or shooting beyond the arc. The Mercury are great at limiting mid-range jumpers but struggle against players like Cloud. I'm projecting her closer to 10.5 points.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Briann January (Storm) Over 2.5 Assists
Sue Bird has been ruled out for tonight's game, meaning Briann January should see 25-30 minutes of playing time. The Storm will likely take advantage of the Lynx's soft 3-point defense, which will lead to more assist chances tonight. I love the correlation we get with this prop and Jewell Lloyd over 17.5 points. I'm projecting January closer to 3.5 assists.
Confidence Rating: 8 out of 10
Brianna Turner (Mercury) Over 7.5 Rebounds
Turner is one of the safest bets in the league to play 35+ minutes, which gives her a high floor for most of her props. I'm projecting her closer to 8.5 rebounds tonight.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
Jewell Loyd (Storm) Over 17.5 Points
Loyd should take advantage of a juicy matchup against the Lynx tonight. Minnesota allows 8.9 3s per game (second-highest in the league), so we should see Loyd take a few extra attempts from downtown tonight. In addition, sue Bird is out for tonight's game, which should also lead to Loyd taking a few extra shots. I'm projecting her closer to 19.5 points and would not be surprised if she also cleared that number.
Confidence Rating: 7 out of 10
