WNBA Odds, Best Bets
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1 p.m. | |
  | 3 p.m. | |
  | 3 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sunday’s WNBA features a three-game slate that starts at 1 p.m. ET and closes out at 3 p.m. ET.
First, the Atlanta Dream open the day up as big underdogs against the New York Liberty. Then, the 3 p.m. doubleheader starts with the Minnesota Lynx taking on the Chicago Sky in the Windy City and the Indiana Fever facing the Phoenix Mercury in the Valley.
So, where does the betting value lie?
Our writers broke down three WNBA best bets and picks for Sunday’s slate, so let’s dive in below.
Dream vs. Liberty
By PJ Walsh
I'm a simple person, so why not take advantage of a simple system for Sunday's WNBA slate?
According to our Bet Labs software, visiting WNBA underdogs of at least 10 points are 252-194-13 (56.5%) against the spread (ATS) dating back to 2005.
In fact, this system has had just one losing season in terms of units won since 2014, and it's 15-7 ATS so far this year.
As a result, I'm backing this simple, yet effective WNBA betting strategy by taking the Atlanta Dream at +14.5 (-110) at BetMGM on Sunday.
Pick: Dream +14.5
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Lynx vs. Sky
The Lynx are the clear sharp side, but since games start much earlier today, the spread has already moved too much to still hold value.
However, market indicators show there could be an edge on the over. I think it makes sense for the matchup as well.
Along with great defense, the Lynx also play a lot of 5-out lineups and are the No. 1 3-point shooting team in the WNBA. They crash the offensive glass, and Napheesa Collier is dominant off a rebound.
The Sky will have to score points to keep up, so let's take the over. The opening number of 162.5 still exists at a couple of books, with some vig and subtle movement pointing toward the over.
Pick: Over 162.5
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Fever vs. Mercury
The Fever face the Mercury for the first time this season, and we have a very aggressive total that’s as high as 175 at Caesars Sportsbook.
While Indiana is the most profitable team in the league for over bettors, this number is too much of a reach. The bookmakers have struggled to gauge how to set the totals in Fever games, and it feels like we’re still in a price discovery stage.
Although Indiana has the league's worst defensive rating (109.5), it doesn’t play particularly fast, ranking ninth in pace with 80.4 possessions per 40 minutes.
If we assess Indiana’s performance against teams with a winning record like Phoenix using this current total, the over would’ve cashed just twice in 11 games.
While I expect this game to be high-scoring, my model projects a total closer to 168.5.
This is a case of the public getting too carried away, as it would require a nearly flawless performance from both sides to push this game over 175 points.
