WNBA Best Bets, Predictions, Picks for Thursday, September 19

WNBA Best Bets, Predictions, Picks for Thursday, September 19 article feature image
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Rhyne Howard #10 of the Atlanta Dream shoots the ball during the game against the Chicago Sky on September 17, 2024 at Gateway Center Arena at College Park in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Adam Hagy/NBAE via Getty Images)

Grab your friends and your popcorn because the final day of the 2024 WNBA regular season has arrived! With most of the playoff picture set for the first round, the eighth and final seed is still up for grabs as tonight will tell who the top-seeded New York Liberty will face in the opening round. The Atlanta Dream just need a win and they're in as they face their possible first-round opponent on NBA TV at 7 p.m. ET.

Meanwhile the Chicago Sky will hope that their playoff chances are still alive in their last matchup against the Connecticut Sun and the same for Washington Mystics who will play host to the Indiana Fever on Prime Video at 7 p.m. ET.

Our experts dive into the final regular season slate with a player prop, a couple of picks targeting the total, and a moneyline selection for Thursday night. Read below for our staff's WNBA best bets for Thursday, September 19.


WNBA Best Bets Today

GameTime (ET)Pick
Atlanta Dream LogoNew York Liberty Logo
7 P.M.
Atlanta Dream LogoNew York Liberty Logo
7 P.M.
Dallas Wings LogoLas Vegas Aces Logo
10 P.M.
Seattle Storm LogoPhoenix Mercury Logo
10 P.M.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Michael Fiddle's Best Bet for Dream vs. Liberty

Atlanta Dream Logo
Thursday, Sept. 19
7 P.M. ET
NBA TV
New York Liberty Logo
Under 159.5
BetMGM Logo

By Michael Fiddle

This situational spot is important to understand because the game matters a ton for the Atlanta Dream, but none for the Liberty. The Dream are currently the 8th seed, tied with two other teams on the final day, but owning all the tie breakers. The Dream are in the classic "win and in" scenario. The Liberty have secured the #1 seed and best record in the WNBA and will have home court advantage throughout the playoffs.

The Liberty will either rest or drastically cut the minutes for Ionescu and Stewart, which is awesome for an under because they run the show on offense. On the other end, the Dream are going to be playing intense defense and high pressure offense. If the Dream do not win, either the Sky or Mystics winning would end their season. The Liberty are also too sound and deep to be broken down defensively. I imagine this is low scoring.

Pick: Under 159.5



Joe Dellera's Best Bet for Dream vs. Liberty

Atlanta Dream Logo
Thursday, Sept. 19
7 P.M. ET
NBA TV
New York Liberty Logo
Rhyne Howard 4+ Rebounds
FanDuel Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Dream are in a win and in scenario for the WNBA Playoffs against a Liberty team who has no real incentives in this game. If the Dream do win, they would then face off against this same Liberty team in the first round of the playoffs.

Howard has been solid against the Liberty from a rebounding perspective as it is and has averaged 5.2 rpg against them over the past few seasons. Additionally, she has been good on the glass of late and has exceeded this line of 3.5 rebounds in 6/10 games.

The major key here is she should see as many minutes as she can handle given the playoff implications and would be playing at a maximum effort which is one thing that raises the rebounding floor. Couple that with the thought that the Liberty might not be playing their best players the most minutes and it sets up for a few more misses against this Dream team.

I’ll grab Howard on the mini rebounds ladder with sprinkles at over 4.5 (+130 Rivers) and 6+ (+285 FD).

Pick: Rhyne Howard 4+ Rebounds



Bryan Fonseca's Best Bet for Wings vs. Aces

Dallas Wings Logo
Thursday, Sept. 19
10 P.M. ET
League Pass
Las Vegas Aces Logo
Aces ML
DraftKings  Logo

By Bryan Fonseca

I don't know who is playing in this game, and I kinda don't care.

Just give me the Las Vegas Aces as home underdogs.

A'ja Wilson, Chelsea Gray, Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young are all day to day, but this game doesn't mean anything for the Wings either, who haven't played a meaningful game in what feels like weeks.

Sure, Arike Ogunbowale can and may go off, but that doesn't guarantee you anything. Without their core four, Tiffany Hayes, Alysha Clark, Megan Gustafson, Kiah Stokes, Kate Martin and Syd Colson may be available.

Role players at home? Good enough for me.

Pick: Aces ML



Michael Fiddle's Best Bet for Storm vs. Mercury

Seattle Storm Logo
Thursday, Sept. 19
10 P.M. ET
League Pass
Phoenix Mercury Logo
Under 160.5
BetMGM Logo

By Michael Fiddle

There is zero urgency in this game as the Mercury are the locked in 7 seed and the Storm are locked into the 5 seed. The key here will be both teams getting through the contest without any major injuries. I would not be surprised to see some rest announcements dropped, hopefully that will come for Skylar Diggins-Smith and Jewell Lloyd for the Storm , and Taurasi and Griner for the Mercury.
We saw Taurasi rest and Griner get ejected last game, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Griner active in this one, but that would not scare me off an under because she is a slow pace interior player and phenomenal defender and defense rebounder.

Pick: Under 160.5



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