WNBA Best Bets Today: Spread Picks, Player Props, Total Predictions
We have a loaded four-game slate in the WNBA this Thursday, with Lynx vs. Wings set to tip off the action at 1:00 p.m. ET, followed by a doubleheader on Amazon Prime Video, as Aces vs. Sky takes center stage at 7:00 p.m. ET, and then we'll conclude the evening with Fever vs. Storm at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Our experts have locked in three bets for today's slate, featuring a spread pick for Minnesota-Dallas, as well as a total prediction and player prop for Indiana-Seattle later tonight.
Read below for our WNBA best bets today.
WNBA Best Bets Today
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
1:00 p.m. | ||
10:00 p.m. | ||
10:00 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Lynx vs. Wings
Minnesota is in the argument for best team in the WNBA right now at 13-3 and fresh off a 94-89 upset win against the Liberty in the Commissioner's Cup Trophy championship game this past Tuesday in New York.
Dallas is 3-13. That's the worst record in the league. The Wings have dropped 11 straight games.
I like the Wings here, and I haven't lost my mind. This is a letdown spot for the Lynx.
The Lynx have felt disrespected all season. They went to New York and knocked off the star-studded Liberty to capture the Commissioner's Cup, which means more to the players than the media since it's not a regular-season game. There's a half-million prize pool in the Commissioner's Cup, which isn't chump change by any stretch of the imagination.
Now, though, the Lynx have to travel to Texas for this early-start game still on Cloud Nine against an opponent with the worst mark in the league. It's simply just a terrible situational spot for the Lynx, who can't help but feel overconfident.
The Wings have better talent than their record shows. They also have their two top scorers, Arike Ogunbowale and Natasha Howard, healthy. Ogunbowale is the No. 2 scorer in the WNBA averaging 23.9 points. Howard averages 18.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. She's one of the better forwards in the league. Howard will be playing in just her fifth game of the season.
Given those two stars and being at home in an unusual early time weekday start, the Wings would be dangerous. Given the monster letdown factor the Lynx face, it wouldn't shock me if Dallas sprung the outright upset, but I'll happily take the points in this spot.
Pick: Wings +9.5 (-110)
Fever vs. Storm
The Indiana Fever are on pace to be one of the worst defensive teams in WNBA history. During the 2020 shortened COVID season, the Fever posted a defensive rating of 111.8 points allowed per 100 possessions.
This season, Indiana has a league-worst 109.5 rating.
If we go back to Indiana’s 2020 season, it was the second-most profitable team for over-bettors with a 12-8-1 (60%) mark.
Those numbers are a blip compared to this season, as the total is 14-4 (77.8%) to the over in Fever games.
Indiana is on a four-game road trip, and its next stop will be Seattle to take on the Storm. Seattle is one of the better teams in the W, ranking fourth with a 10-6 record.
The bookmakers opened with a total of 166.5, and that number feels short when you consider this situational spot.
In 2020, the Fever played nine games with an opening total of 166.5 or more points, and the over was 6-2-1 (75%).
Given the striking similarities between the 2020 Fever team and this current roster, the over warrants some strong consideration.
Pick: Over 167.5 (-110)
Fever vs. Storm
By Joe Dellera
The Storm take on Caitlin Clark and the Fever today. However, I’m targeting one of the Storm’s guards in this matchup.
Skylar Diggins-Smith has a points + assists line set at 21.5, a number she’s exceeded in 56% of games this season including a combined total of 27 in her last matchup against the Fever.
Over the Fever’s last 10 games, they have the second-worst defensive rating (108.4) and are allowing the second-most opponent assists (22.7).
Considering the Storm play at one of the faster paces in the league, they should be able to speed up the Fever in this matchup where they are 9-point favorites.
I’ll back Skylar to lead the charge for the Storm tonight.
Pick: Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 21.5 Points + Assists (-128)
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