WNBA Predictions, Picks, Best Bets for Tuesday, September 17

WNBA Predictions, Picks, Best Bets for Tuesday, September 17 article feature image
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Natasha Cloud #0 of the Phoenix Mercury controls the ball during the game against the New York Liberty at Footprint Center on August 26, 2024 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images)

There's only two days left of the WNBA regular season and with teams such as the Washington Mystics, the Chicago Sky, and the Atlanta Dream hoping for a chance to their extend their season, it's about to be madness in these last few matchups.

With a lot at stake for that 8th and final spot in the standings, the slate for Tuesday night will be very telling as our experts give their picks from targeting the total to quite a few player props amid the five-game schedule. So don't miss out and get ready for the rollercoaster that's ahead.

Read below for our staff's WNBA best bets for Tuesday, September 17.


WNBA Best Bets for Tuesday, September 17

GameTime (ET)Pick
New York Liberty LogoWashington Mystics Logo
7 P.M.
New York Liberty LogoWashington Mystics Logo
7 P.M.
Chicago Sky LogoAtlanta Dream Logo
7:30 P.M.
Chicago Sky LogoAtlanta Dream Logo
7:30 P.M.
Las Vegas Aces LogoSeattle Storm Logo
10 P.M.
Phoenix Mercury LogoLos Angeles Sparks Logo
10:30 P.M.
Phoenix Mercury LogoLos Angeles Sparks Logo
10:30 P.M.
Phoenix Mercury LogoLos Angeles Sparks Logo
10:30 P.M.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Bryan Fonseca's Best Bet for Liberty vs. Mystics

New York Liberty Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
7 P.M. ET
NBA TV
Washington Mystics Logo
Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 threes
FanDuel Logo

By Bryan Fonseca

I'm just generally going to take this over when available.

Sabrina Ionescu has hit just 29 percent from three since returning from the Olympics but has still cleared this in 8-of-11 because of volume.

Last time out, she shot 2-for-12 from three. That's not discouraging to me at all. The shots are going up, and she'll almost always give you ample opportunity to cash an over this low given the volume.

Ionescu is averaging 9.7 three point attempts per game since August 15, totaling nine or more attempts in all but three games since. If 3-for-10 gets it done, then so be it.

Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 threes



Michael Fiddle's Best Bet for Liberty vs. Mystics

New York Liberty Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
7 P.M. ET
NBA TV
Washington Mystics Logo
Under 161.5
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

By Michael Fiddle

The New York Liberty are incredibly talented and efficient, but ultimately a team I love playing unders for. They have a stout defense and do not push the pace aggressively on offense. They can be dominant in half court sets with motions, off ball screens, forced switch isolations, and actions that take time to get into.

The Mystics have been playing well but lack an elite scoring punch on the roster. They will rely on Brittany Sykes, but the Liberty have wing depth to throw her tough looks.

Pick: Under 161.5



Joe Dellera's Best Bet for Sky vs. Dream

Chicago Sky Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
7:30 P.M. ET
League Pass
Atlanta Dream Logo
Chennedy Carter Over 4.5 Rebounds
FanDuel Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Sky face off against the Dream is a pseudo-playoff game given the standings.

The Sky have listed Kamilla Cardoso (shoulder) as questionable for this game and she was unable to finish their last game due to injury. Without her or Angel Reese the Sky will be without two of their best rebounders.

I do not think either team has much offensive firepower at this point and Chennedy secures the bulk of her rebounds on the defensive glass. Atlanta surrenders the second-most defensive rebounds per game to their opponents. Those should be a bit easier to come by without Reese and potentially without Cardoso.

Chennedy is averaging 5.2 rebounds per game out of the break and has exceeded this line of 4.5 in 6/9 games. I’ll play the ladder up to 7 given the matchup but also since it’s essentially a Playoff game, I expect the Sky’s defensive intensity and Chennedy’s minutes to be up. I’ll sprinkle 6 and 7 rebounds as well.

Pick: Chennedy Carter Over 4.5 Rebounds



Bryan Fonseca's Best Bet for Sky vs. Dream

Chicago Sky Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
7:30 P.M. ET
League Pass
Atlanta Dream Logo
Lindsay Allen Over 3.5 Assists
FanDuel Logo

By Bryan Fonseca

In a game that will be without potentially several key contributors, it's difficult to project who exactly will produce in the place of, say, Angel Reese, Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, Diamond DeShields and possibly Kamilla Cardoso, to name a few.

One constant should be Lindsay Allen's playmaking.

The veteran point guard has been the Sky's floor general of choice this season, and as of late, has gone over 3.5 assists in 14 of 17 games.

Yes, this is juiced to -144 at places like FanDuel, but up to, say, -160, I'd ride with it. If you want to just take Allen at five or more assists instead, she has cleared that in 10 of 14.

Pick: Lindsay Allen Over 3.5 Assists



Michael Fiddle's Best Bet for Aces vs. Storm

Las Vegas Aces Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
10 P.M. ET
NBA TV
Seattle Storm Logo
Under 164.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Michael Fiddle

This is a really strong situational under. The Aces and Storm are in a battle for the 4/5 seed, are one game apart, are playing against each other, and currently the Storm in the 5th seed own the tie breaker and would jump the two time defending champs in the standings with a win.

This game likely determines home court advantage in the first round and will be played with a ton of intensity and pressure. I think defense will be at a premium. I also wouldn't be surprised if the coaches hide a key offense wrinkles for the playoff moment incoming, the matchup is set, the location is still TBD. Expect basic rotations and defensive intensity.

Pick: Under 164.5



Bryan Fonseca's Best Bet for Mercury vs. Sparks

Phoenix Mercury Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
10:30 P.M. ET
CBS Sports Network
Los Angeles Sparks Logo
Natasha Cloud over 24.5 PRA
FanDuel Logo

By Bryan Fonseca

Natasha Cloud has ruined this defense this season.

Against the Sparks — in the order of points, assists and rebounds — she had 21-12-1 on June 2, 14-7-2 on just eight shots on June 28, and most recently, 31-5-9 on July 7.

The last one was in Los Angeles.

Cloud's season-high — by 10 points — was that 31-point outing. She has cleared this PRA prop in back-to-back outings and only four times since the break, but this is more to do with her recent history against the Sparks, who also happen to be the worst team in the W with a bottom three defense.

Pick: Natasha Cloud over 24.5 PRA



Joe Dellera's Best Bet for Mercury vs. Sparks

Phoenix Mercury Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
10:30 P.M. ET
CBS Sports Network
Los Angeles Sparks Logo
Natasha Cloud Over 6.5 Assists
ESPN BET Logo

By Joe Dellera

Kahleah Copper is out again for the Mercury and Cloud has filled in well without her. Cloud has logged 7 and 11 dimes in the two games where Copper missed this season and now gets a spot against the Sparks who are at the bottom of the league.

The Mercury do not need this game, they are locked into the 7 seed and I think that means a bit less run for Taurasi. This seems to have been a trend as well over the last few games as she’s failed to exceed 30 minutes in each of her last four games while Cloud’s minutes have climbed to 35 and 37 in the last two.

The Sparks surrender the fourth-most assists per game while playing at the third-fastest Pace over their last 10 games.

This is a good spot to back Cloud.

I'm taking Natasha Cloud over 6.5 Assists (-115 ESPN) | Play to 7.5+$ and sprinkle 10+ (+425 Bet365) or double-double.

Pick: Natasha Cloud Over 6.5 Assists



Joe Dellera's Best Bet for Mercury vs. Sparks

Phoenix Mercury Logo
Tuesday, Sept. 17
10:30 P.M. ET
CBS Sports Network
Los Angeles Sparks Logo
Rickea Jackson Over 16.5 Points
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

By Joe Dellera

Jackson has been quite the SPARK (🥁) for LA in the second half of her rookie season.

Jackson has been cooking from the three lately and is shooting 46.3% from beyond the arc over her last ten games. This has contributed to her exceeding her 16.5 points line in 7/10 games while averaging 17.9 during that stretch. Considering she’s coming off back to back 22 point games against a staunch Storm defense she fouls be able to excel against the Mercury.

Jackson has played 33+ minutes in 9/10 games and I expect a 30 minute floor considering the Sparks are just playing to develop their talent for next season. When she has played 30+ minutes she is averaging 17.6 this season.

I’ll back the rookie tonight.

Pick: Rickea Jackson Over 16.5 Points



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