Our single-game WNBA slate for Saturday features two struggling teams: the Seattle Storm and the Phoenix Mercury. Can either of these teams snap out of it before the playoffs start? Find my big plus-money parlay below, featuring the Mercury to cover the spread, the under on the point total, and an Ezi Magbegor player prop pick.
WNBA Parlay for Mercury vs Storm (Saturday, September 7)
- Ezi Magbegor to Score 15+ Points (+340)
- Under 163.5 Points (-112)
- Phoenix Mercury +7 (-112)
Parlay Odds: +1946 (FanDuel)
Ezi Magbegor To Score 15+ Points (+340)
Interestingly, Magbegor’s best game this season came against none other than the Phoenix Mercury; she posted 21 points on 9-for-13 shooting from the floor in just over 30 minutes of action.
Of course, some of her success in that game could be explained by Brittney Griner’s absence; however, just ten days later, Magbegor scored 14 points on the Mercury, nearly eclipsing this total again.
Magbegor is not necessarily known for her scoring ability on the offensive end of the floor, but she has had solid success against the Mercury this season.
Additionally, Magbegor has been more involved on the offensive end in two of her past three games, finishing with 13 points twice on double-digit field goal attempts, a positive sign heading into a matchup in which she has had recent success.
Mercury +7 (-112) & Under 163.5 (-112)
The Phoenix Mercury have stumbled recently, dropping three of their past four games by 13 or more points. While three of their opponents in that span are legitimate title-contending teams, a 13-point loss to a Sharika Austin-less Washington team is horrendous.
During this slide, Phoenix has given up 84, 89, 90, and 97 points to its opponents, marking a dangerous trend with the playoffs just around the corner.
Now, the Mercury play a Seattle Storm team that struggles on the offensive end of the floor. This season, they rank eighth in offensive rating, tenth in total shooting percentage, and dead-last in 3-point percentage by a wide margin.
This is a massive advantage for the Mercury, who can lean on the dominant interior presence of 6-foot-9 Griner to deter rim attacks. In fact, Phoenix can just pack the paint and force Seattle to beat it by shooting from behind the arc, which it has done at merely a 22.2% clip in its past four outings.
Further, teams are shooting the lights out against the Storm in that stretch, knocking down just shy of 42% of their attempts. While Seattle has typically been pesky on defense this season, it has struggled recently.
Ultimately, despite the Mercury's recent play, a 7-point spread is too wide in this spot, so we will back Phoenix against the spread and the under on the point total, as scoring could be hard to come by with these two teams in their current state.
