The Indiana Fever hope to improve their chances for a postseason berth when they host the Seattle Storm on Sunday afternoon. Indiana has won four of its past six games, a stretch that includes victories over two quality teams — New York and Minnesota.
As for Seattle, it's coming off a disappointing road loss against an Atlanta team that's ninth in the standings. Indiana is 0-3 against Seattle this season, but is a dangerous team given its improved form in recent games.
The Fever have also benefited from playing in front of their home crowd. With another sellout crowd expected for this nationally televised game, with Storm vs Fever starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC, we could see plenty of fireworks in what should be a high-scoring affair. That being said, let's dive into my Storm vs Fever prediction.
Storm vs Fever Prediction: Bet the Over
- My Storm vs Fever pick for Sunday's matinee game on ABC is on the over. I have this game going into the 170s. The total was originally in the high 160s, but the best line is now 170 at FanDuel and other sportsbooks, with some 170.5s already out there.
- We also have a Same-Game Parlay for Storm vs Fever featuring player props for Caitlin Clark that you can check out by heading over to WNBA Same-Game Parlay for Caitlin Clark in Storm vs Fever.
Storm vs Fever Odds
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -108 | 170 -110o / -110u | -170 |
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -112 | 170 -110o / -110u | +138 |
The latest Storm vs Fever lines have Seattle as 3.5-point favorites on the road against Caitlin Clark & Co. The Fever are +138 to get the home win, with the Storm -170 favorites on the moneyline. The total is now over/under 170 points scored.
My Storm vs Fever Preview
Seattle Storm: This Game will be Fast
You don't come across teams like the Storm too often as this team has one of the rarest combinations.
Usually, when you think of teams like Seattle, teams with the second-best defense in the league, you'd expect to find a team that also excels at controlling the game.
Good defenses tend to have that innate ability to frustrate opponents and slow down the game.
But if you look at Seattle, it doesn't mind a fast pace. In fact, it even excels at an accelerated pace.
Seattle ranks second in pace, so we have a matchup where both teams will be looking to get up and down the court.
Indiana Fever: Turnovers Could Decide Game
The Fever sit on the other end of the spectrum for defense. Indiana's 108.2 Defensive Rating is the second-worst in the league.
Perhaps it's not entirely surprising, given that Indiana is also the third-youngest team, with an average age of 26.5 years.
If you look at the teams ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively, five of those six teams are also among the youngest in the W.
And then, when you add in a starting rookie point guard like Caitlin Clark, you have to expect a few bumps along the way.
Indiana commits the fourth-most turnovers (15.2 per game) and allows the third-most points off turnovers (17.7).
Seattle also forces 16.8 turnovers per game, the most in the league.
Lastly, we have a Fever team that also likes to play an uptempo style.
The profiles of these teams indicate a fast game. They both want to play uptempo, and Indiana's high turnover rate could help ignite a frantic pace to the game.
Storm vs Fever Prediction: All Signs Point to the Over
Storm vs Fever Best Bet
This has all the markings of a high-scoring affair. Both teams are led by dynamic point guards who play a big part in setting the game's tone.
Indiana can be extremely vulnerable in the backcourt as opposing teams generally look to attack Clark.
Seattle's point guard, Skylar Diggins-Smith, recorded nine assists in two of the previous three meetings against Indiana.
Additionally, her teammate, Jewell Loyd, scored above her season average in all three meetings.
This matchup is one where the Seattle guards will relish attacking the first layer of Indiana's defense — Clark at the top of the key.
Since my model projects a score in the 170s, we're getting decent value on the over, which is still available at 168.
Storm vs Fever Pick: Over 170 |
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