Tuesday's WNBA slate features two games first-round playoff games.
The Atlanta Dream are at the New York Liberty and the Las Vegas Aces host the Seattle Storm, but despite both matchups being Game 2 of their series, these will actually be the third meetings between these teams in the past week.
The Atlanta Dream played the Liberty to end the season, and the Storm played the Aces on the second-to-last day of the WNBA regular season. When we attack the WNBA player props market, we have to understand that this is another repeat matchup and the lines have been bet into for a week. However, there are still a few spots worth placing a bet.
So, let's get to my WNBA player prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, September 24.
WNBA Player Prop Picks
Sabrina Ionescu Under 6.5 Assists (-130 Bet365)
I'm going right back to the well on this line. This is a prop I also played and wrote about for Game 1. Ionescu is looking for her shot and being asked to score.
She came out blistering in the first quarter, scoring eight points early in Game 1. I expect Ionescu to remain in attack mode, and the matchup against the Dream makes sense for that approach. The Dream have veteran Tina Charles to defend the paint and in the pick-and-roll, she'll run with Jonquel Jones or Breanna Stewart.
Ionescu looks to attack off the dribble and beat the guard for a shot opportunity more than a pass. This player prop was -115 in Game 1, and -130 would be the limit I play this at. That line's currently available at Bet365.
Gabby Williams Under 3.5 Assists (-115, FanDuel)
This is another repeat bet. Williams played fantastic and overperformed expectations in Game 1, but still fell short of this line.
She is being asked to score and defend at a high level, making her playmaking duties moot. The Storm have also returned Jewell Loyd, another ball handler, playmaker and isolation scorer.
Williams should generate around five assists opportunities, making under 3.5 a strong prop angle. The game total has also dropped from 164 to 160. If the books and sharp action forecast less scoring, then I want to bet on less assists.
Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds (+116, FanDuel)
This is a play toward increased minutes for Gray.
She has eight rebounds in the past two matchups against the Storm over the past week and should see an uptick in minutes in a closeout, home playoff game.
If Gray plays 32 minutes, like she did in Game 1, then we should expect her stat line to see a slight increase. The last time Gray played over 30 minutes, prior to Game 1, was on August 27th. The playoffs increase opportunities for the best players, and Gray easily fits that bill.
