We've hit 14 of our last 19 going back to Aug. 8, and I haven't calculated the exact ROI yet — but it's good.
Again, ain't much WNBA left, so let's end strong.
We only have one more prop piece before the September 10 final day of the season, and then, it's time for one of the most highly-anticipated playoffs in league history.
Ideally, the hot streak would continue to and through the playoffs, but I submit to the basketball Gods, because once these bets are made, it's out of my hands.
Tonight, we have four games, so here are two plays I like.
WNBA Player Props Today
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 -102 | 164.5 -112 / -108 | -114 |
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 164.5 -112 / -108 | -106 |
NaLyssa Smith Over 15.5 Points (-115)
The value here is just too promising to pass up.
NaLyssa Smith has had her inconsistencies this season, but lately, she's been on a better scoring run that it'll make me play this with more confidence than I'd otherwise have.
Smith has gone over 15.5 points in four of her last five, including two games of 30 and 25 points, respectively. In this stretch, the No. 2 pick from 2022 is shooting 55% from the field, and shot under 50% in three of those games, two of which she still netted 16 and 18 points.
Her free throw rate is also up in that time, hitting on only 63.6% but the attempts are a 6.6 per game in her last five, which is encouraging given that she is at four free throw attempts per game for the season.
The volume is there, and the recent output is there, plus, the struggling Fever have every incentive to continue feeding a franchise cornerstone to end a disappointing season.
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-6.5 -102 | 171.5 -114 / -106 | -265 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+6.5 -120 | 171.5 -114 / -106 | +210 |
Courtney Vandersloot Over 7.5 Assists (-125)
Courtney Vandersloot has been on an assist tear as of late. The Gonzaga alum has gone over 7.5 assists in six of her last eight contests, including three games of 10 dimes or more.
It's hard not to play this prop as steep as the number may feel. The Liberty have won six straight and 16 of their last 17, in which Vandersloot has been moving the ball exceptionally well, in which we've seen all-around production from Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, and Betnijah Laney, among others.
And in order to hit this prop, the team needs to be scoring at a reasonable clip. You can argue no team is better than the Liberty as we near the post-season, and Vandersloot's floor generalship is a leading factor.
