With half of the semifinals set in the WNBA playoffs, it comes down to another set of Game 2's in the first round to see who will advance and join the New York Liberty and the Las Vegas Aces to inch closer to the WNBA Finals.
At 7:30 p.m. ET, the Indiana Fever and the Connecticut Sun tip off on ESPN as the Fever hope to force a Game 3 to see if they can save their season. While Napheesa Collier and the Minnesota Lynx are ready to shut down the Phoenix Mercury in what may likely be Diana Taurasi's last game of her WNBA career in a do-or-die matchup at 9:30 p.m. ET also airing on ESPN.
Will we get a Game 3 (or two) out of the remaining first round series? Or will the job get done Wednesday night by the Sun and the Lynx? Our experts are all over it as we dive into our WNBA Playoffs best bets for Wednesday, September 25.
WNBA Playoff Best Bets for Wednesday, Sept. 25
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:30 P.M. | |
| 7:30 P.M. | |
| 7:30 P.M. | |
| 7:30 P.M. | |
  | 9:30 P.M. | |
| 9:30 P.M. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bryan Fonseca's Moneyline Pick for Fever vs. Sun
This is listed under Moneyline/Total Points Parlay on FanDuel and I wrote about this in our Game 2 Single Game Guide.
Last game would've been under, these two would've combined for two overs in five games this season — one at just 164.
I don't think the Connecticut Sun are dropping 90 again, and I think the Indiana Fever will struggle from the field for a second straight game, admittedly to a lesser degree. But even so, I'm projecting more of a grind compared to Game 1, which wasn't the case for the Sun at least.
More on the single-game guide for this matchup.
Pick: Sun ML/Total Under 163.5
| | | | | |
Michael Fiddle's Spread Pick for Fever vs. Sun
The Game 2 line opened at Fever +7.5 after they got blown out in game 1, and the initial movement to bring that number down makes sense. If game 1 was a -5.5 spread that the Sun covered, than really no one game result should move a line 2 full points without any other news like injuries. So action came back in on the Fever and has moved this line back to -5.5, where I now want to enter on the Sun.
I call this a resistance point in gambling because I am fading the line movement and saying – it cant go further than this because the Sun covered -5.5 in game 1. Having any straight bet, one any side, simply at the best number ever offered for a game is an attractive place to bet into – and here we have that with Sun -5.5.
Pick: Sun -5.5 (-115)
| | | | | |
Joe Dellera's Player Prop for Fever vs. Sun
By Joe Dellera
The Sun look to close it out against the Indiana Fever and one player who should play an instrumental role is Alyssa Thomas.
Thomas played nearly the entire game in Game 1. One notable thing was Tyasha Harris (ankle) was hurt and did not return to the game. When that happened Marina Mabrey started the second half. This is significant for the Sun’s spacing. In the second half, AT racked up 9 of her 13 dimes to finish with a triple double.
Thomas has been strong on the glass against Aliyah Boston as well. She is averaging 11.9 per game against her in her nine matchups.
I’ll back AT to exceed 18.5 RA and will sprinkle a triple double (+625 Bet365).
Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 18.5 RA (+100)
| | | | | |
Bryan Fonseca's Player Prop Pick for Fever vs. Sun
Boston went over this last game in ultimately an outlier performance — she went way under (18, 16 and 10) this three times in four regular season games.
I think Brionna Jones and Alyssa Thomas do a better job of neutralizing the All-Star big, though it may free up the Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark backcourt a bit from a shooting perspective — but they combined to go 4-for-23 from three last game.
And if you're the Sun, you'll probably live with Boston getting those numbers as opposed to the guards, which is the danger of this, but you can't simply just let it happen.
Connecticut was better defensively on the numbers than the eye-test, and they weren't physical enough with Boston in Game 1, but I'd be surprised if that doesn't change in Game 2.
Before Game 1, Boston averaged 9.5 points against the Sun this season on 41 percent shooting and 8.0 boards per contest. Even so, those numbers are slightly inflated by a 14-12 showing on 5-for-11 shooting in June. That aside, she hadn't exceeded 10 points or eight rebounds until the post-season.
Pick: Aliyah Boston Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds
| | | | | |
Braxton Reynold's Player Prop Target for Mercury vs. Lynx
Minnesota fields an elite defense, they grind down the pace, and interior scorers struggle to gain traction. If the dam bursts against them, then it's typically due to jump-shooters wreaking havoc, not post-up bigs.
The Lynx have contained Griner all season. She's averaging just 10.2 points per game across four matchups, including 2.5 points per first quarter.
Overall, Griner has gone under this line in 21-of-31 games this year and 4-of-4 matchups versus Minnesota.
Pick: Brittney Griner Under 4.5 First Quarter Points (-158)
| | | | | |
Michael Fiddle Targets Total for Mercury vs. Lynx
Pick: Under 160.5
| | | | | |
