The WNBA Playoffs resume with a pair of Game 4 semifinal matchups this Sunday, as both series could potentially come to a close and officially set the stage for our Finals matchup within the next 24 hours.
The New York Liberty own a 2-1 series lead over the Las Vegas Aces, and will aim to eliminate the defending champs on the road with tipoff set for 3:00 p.m. ET on ABC. Shortly thereafter, the Minnesota Lynx will also try to finish off their series against the Connecticut Sun, with the final matchup of the slate set to begin at 5:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Our staff of basketball betting experts has locked in three selections for Sunday's matchups, including two player prop picks and a team total prediction. Continue below for our WNBA picks, predictions, and best bets for Sunday, October 6.
WNBA Playoffs Picks, Predictions, Best Bets for Sunday, October 6
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 3:00 p.m. | |
  | 5:00 p.m. | |
| 5:00 p.m. | |
| 5:00 p.m. | |
| 5:00 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Liberty vs. Aces
The Liberty and Aces have been the two best first-half teams in the WNBA this regular season with +11.4 and +8.1 Net Ratings, respectively. In the playoffs, the Aces are -5.1 before halftime, while the Liberty have improved to +13.3.
New York has covered both home games against the Aces so far, but failed to cover Game 3 in Las Vegas.
Historically, Game 3s are a great spot for the home team down 0-2 and still the Aces barely covered the 2.5-point first-half line by half a point. Las Vegas blew the game open in the third quarter, allowing New York to score just six points, but the Liberty won the final frame 26-22. I expect the Liberty to come out firing after getting punched in the mouth in Game 3.
Pick: Liberty 1H +1.5
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Lynx vs. Sun
DeWanna Bonner has scored 15 or more points in four of five playoff games, hitting at least two threes in every single instance.
She's scored 15 or more points in 26 games out of 45 this year, including the postseason, and has accompanied that with at least two made threes in the vast majority of those performances.
The Sun are in a do-or-die game where they will desperately need Bonner's creativity on offense, and they're gonna have to lean on her early and often in Game 4 to keep their season going. Bonner to score 15+ points (-105) parlayed with Bonner 2+ three pointers (-112) pays out +134 at FanDuel.
Pick: DeWanna Bonner to Score 15+ Points (-105)
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Lynx vs. Sun
By Joe Dellera
This is a win or go home game for the Sun, and I expect to see a tighter rotation with their best players getting extended run.
Carrington has seen max-minutes throughout this series, playing 40, 31, and 33 in the first three matchups. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her play 35+ on Sunday.
When she has played at least 30 minutes this season, she has averaged 20.6 points + rebounds and has exceeded this line (17.5) in 87% of games. If we get up to 33 minutes, it’s 92% with the only miss ringing in at 17.
This is an excellent spot to back Carrington, who is an absolute menace on the defensive end of the floor, while she also contributes as an adept scoring threat. I’ll grab her to exceed 17.5 points + rebounds.
Pick: DiJonai Carrington Over 17.5 PTS+REB (-130)
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Lynx vs. Sun
Game 3 was the first time that a team scored 20 points in all four quarters against the Sun.
Game 4 is supposed to be the defensive-led, bounce back spot. The caveat is, the Lynx shot just 5-for-15 from three, but then again, they blistered the Connecticut frontcourt with a 30-for-46 shooting display from two-point range — good for about 65% inside the arc.
The Sun have held the Lynx under this mark twice this series and allowed 23 last time out. We'll roll with that being the outlier.
Pick: Lynx 1Q Under 19.5 Points (-120)
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Lynx vs. Sun
Pick: Sun Team Total Under 77.5 (-115)
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