The WNBA welcomes the weekend with a four-game slate for Friday night. As the playoffs inch closer and closer, a few teams are still vying for their spot to extend their season. With a triple dose of 7:30 p.m. ET games, the Dallas Wings face off against the Dream with Atlanta trying to beat out the Sky for a way into the postseason. Then you might want to grab your popcorn for A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces taking on the Connecticut Sun as two of the toughest teams battle it out.
Napheesa Collier and the Minnesota Lynx pay a visit to Caitlin Clark and the surging Indiana Fever, who are finding their way at the right time. And last but certainly not least, the Los Angeles Sparks are in Chi-Town to battle Angel Reese and the Chicago Sky.
Let's take a look at our WNBA predictions and picks for Friday, September 6.
WNBA Best Bets for Friday, September 6
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Aces vs Sun
The Aces are in better form, coming into Friday night having won four of five and, on the road, five of their last seven.
They've won their lone contest this year, beating the Sun 85-74 on June 21 in Vegas, and overall, they're just the better team, even given their odd regular season regression this year.
The Sun just split their last two home games, both against the Seattle Storm, and unsurprisingly, they couldn't score last game, netting 64 points, their second lowest of the season.
Even with the context of this season, I'll always be tempted by the Aces getting a damn near moneyline at even money, and even though I love the Sun's league-best defense — they haven't been that as consistently since coming back from break, and the Aces are playing their best ball in over a month.
Pick: Aces -1.5
Lynx vs Fever
The Lynx are entering as the clear sharp side in this game with reverse line movement happening on the board as well. I think this is a strong spot to fade the Fever because they recently clinched a playoff spot and played sloppy and lacked urgency last game.
With the total also moving down from 170 to 169, this is another market signal that its a Lynx spot because the Fever offense has been so stellar. If the total is dropping, lets back the defensive team on a short spread. Also interesting note there is a -2 (-114) and -2.5 (-104) available, the more valuable line in this scenario is -104.
Pick: Lynx -2.5 (-104)
Aces vs Sun
By Joe Dellera
A’ja has been crushing lately with 30, 41, 26, and 42 over her last four games but this matchup against the Connecticut Sun is a tougher one, especially on the interior.
A’ja has not exceeded this line in any of her 11 games against the Sun since 2022. She scored 26 against the Sun in her one matchup this season, but they did limit her volume from within the paint which is how she scores nearly half of her points.
Couple the individual history with the fact that the Sun play at the slowest Pace in the W, and it’s a clear Pace Down spot for A’ja and the Aces.
I expect a fewer quality looks for the MVP favorite and will grab under 28.5 points.
Pick: A'ja Wilson Under 28.5 Points
Wings vs Dream
The Dallas Wings defensive efficiency over the last 15 or so games has been down right terrible, and they are playing pace up offense. The combination of more possessions and increased efficiency is leading to nearly all Wings games are taking over steam. The Atlanta Dream are another team I like to back overs for because they have strong guard play to push the pace and score. I would play this over 167.
Pick: Over 166.5
Lynx vs. Fever
By Joe Dellera
Collier has put up monster numbers against Indiana over the last few seasons including 31 points in their matchup in August. She scored at will with 16 points in the paint while converting 6/11 free throws. While that free throw volume would be difficult to replicate, the efficiency was way down on those attempts as she’s an 82.1% Free Throw shooter throughout her career.
We are getting a bit of a discount here because she’s scored just 16, 17, and 12 over her last three games despite averaging 20.4 ppg.
The Fever have been much better since the Break; however, the biggest gains have been on offense rather than on the defensive side of the ball.
I expect Collier to exceed 19.5 points today and would play some 25+ (+275 Bet365 – next best +240 DK).