Sound the alarm. It’s A’ja Wilson against Caitlin Clark! The Las Vegas Aces travel to face the surging Indiana Fever this Wednesday, September 11 in a game that has huge playoff seeding ramifications.
Keep reading to see my WNBA same-game parlay for this Aces versus Fever spectacle.
WNBA Same Game Parlay for Aces vs. Fever
- Kelsey Plum Over 23.5 Points + Assists (-120)
- Jackie Young 2+ Made Threes (-188)
Parlay Odds: +176 on FanDuel
Kelsey Plum Over 23.5 Points+Assists (-120)
Since June 1, Indiana ranks third in pace and tenth in defensive rating. That combination means an inflated number of possessions with excellent shot quality for Las Vegas’ offense.
More specifically, perimeter shooters absolutely torch the Fever. They give up the second most 3-point attempts, catch-and-shoot jumpers, and above-the-break triples per game. It’s not only volume either. Opponents produce the largest effective field goal percentage on jump shots against them.
This matchup is made for Plum. She averages a whopping eight shots per game from 3-point territory, which checks in at fifth most across the W. Plum also sits in the 84th percentile in points per jump shot. The veteran should have a monster scoring day, and her playmaking will also be a factor. Indiana’s guards cannot contain her handle, so Plum can knife her way into the paint and rack up kick-outs to shooters if defenders run her off the line.
Dumping the ball to A’ja Wilson is another easy way to record assists. Wilson missed last game with an ankle injury, but she’s not on the injury report and therefore will play barring something unforeseen.
Check out Plum’s stats in two matchups versus the Fever this season.
- 34 points, 5 assists, 11/20 FGA, 6/11 3PA
- 20 points, 7 assists, 7/18 FGA, 3/10 3PA
She has crushed this 23.5 points+assists line, and I expect another excellent game from the All-Star. It should be a close game (the spread is -3.5 points), thus reducing blowout potential.
I would play this line as a straight bet along with the same-game parlay.
Jackie Young 2+ Made Threes (-188)
Indiana’s atrocious perimeter defense benefits Jackie Young as well. At 5.7 attempts per game from 3-point range, Young is the Aces’ second outside option behind Plum. That’s especially true when the Fever are in town. Across two matchups this year, Young went 2-for-8 and 3-for-9 on triples. She’s a decent shooter from deep at 34.4%, which would indicate that six attempts are all that is needed on average. I definitely expect Young to hit that threshold.
Wilson playing through an injury also helps Plum and Young because Indiana’s rapid pace will stress her painful ankle and therefore probably reduce scoring production. Plus, the Fever protects the rim at a decent level, so outside shooters should seize the day, not interior scorers.
