The Minnesota Lynx go on the road to continue their series against the Connecticut Sun. This series is tied at 1 and the Game 3 victor will claim a commanding lead in this best-of-five series.
Keep reading for my WNBA same-game parlay for Lynx vs. Sun Game 3.
WNBA Same-Game Parlay for Lynx vs Sun Game 3
- Marina Mabrey 15+ Points (-145)
- Kayla McBride Under 13.5 Points (-104)
Parlay Odds: +206 on FanDuel
Marina Mabrey 15+ points (-145)
Let’s go back to the well here. Since joining the Sun in August, Marina Mabrey closed out the regular season with an elite 1.148 points per field goal attempt across 16 games. She also finished in the 93rd percentile in points per dribble jumper and in the 90th percentile in points per catch-and-shoot jumper, according to Synergy Sports.
Along with exceptional efficiency numbers, Mabrey is a high-volume shooter, especially from distance. That hasn’t changed against Minnesota. Through two games, the veteran is averaging 9.5 attempts per game from 3-point territory, which means she can stack points at an extremely fast rate.
The Sun will also continue to feed her looks. Minnesota’s defense protects the paint and defends well in isolation, but off-ball screens can shake them at times. Mabrey is best positioned to benefit as Connecticut runs plenty of off-ball sets to get her relatively clean shots.
The sharpshooter had her 3-point shot going in Game 1 and scored 20 points. And despite a poor efficiency night in Game 2, she still managed to contribute 15 points due to a strong free-throw night.
Overall, Mabrey’s combination of volume and efficiency makes her a strong bet to once again reach 15 points — a line she has cleared in 14-of-20 games (70%) with the Sun.
Kayla McBride Under 13.5 Points (-104)
On the flip side, this is a brutal matchup for Kayla McBride. Connecticut’s top-ranked defense allowed the fewest points per game, along with the fewest 3-point attempts per game, to guards this season.
McBride’s offense revolves around her 3-point shooting and ability to leverage screens. So, a defense that takes those away cuts off her main source of points.
To make matters worse, inside-the-arc efficiency is definitely not a backup plan that’s viable for McBride. Look for the Sun to continue to make life difficult for her.
Check out her stats against Connecticut this year:
- 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting
- 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting
- 14 points on 3-of-11 shooting
- 12 points on 5-of-11 shooting (G1)
- 11 points on 4-of-10 shooting (G2)
Unless she’s scorching hot from deep or getting an unusual amount of free throws, it’s likely McBride scores under 13.5 points.
