Astros vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - August 5, 2023

Astros at Yankees

5:05 pm • MLB Network

Houston Astros

6-5

1 - 3

New York Yankees

6-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2
J.Verlander			3.31	7-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 6-5	-1.5+116	o8.5-113	-144
Yankees 6-4	+1.5-142	u8.5-106	+120

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

August 05, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

HOU -1.5+118

J.Verlander o17.5 Outs-164

0.61u

J.Verlander u2.5 Earned Runs-120

0.83u

NYY +120

1.2u

NYY +119

1.19u

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Need -115

NYY +120

0.6u

Bet to +102

Featured Insight
Yankees Left Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against RHP since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Astros hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% over the last two weeks -- 10th-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the YankeesRPs over the last two weeks -- second-best in MLB.

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The Astros are 16-8 (.667) after a road loss this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

Aaron Judge is slugging .614 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Justin Verlander has thrown a breaking pitch 47% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.060 this season -- second best among hitters with at least 160 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Rafael Montero has allowed an OPS of .885 (207 PAs) this season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Justin Verlander has walked 4 of 21 right-handed batters (19%) over the last 14 days (2 games) -- 2nd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- fourth Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .297 (290 Total Bases / 977 ABs) since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .404 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 4th	HOU	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9	HOU +150
Aug 3rd	HOU	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	NYY -105
Aug 2nd	TB	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY -120
Aug 1st	TB	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -105
Jul 31st	TB	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TB +136

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P		97	7	4	2
RK.Graveman, P		24	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
2J.Pena, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6C.McCormick, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Kessinger, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8Y.Diaz, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8Y.Diaz, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	64	4	8	1
RI.Hamilton, P	34	2	4	0
RT.Kahnle, P	15	1	1	0
RM.King, P	16	1	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bauers, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Judge, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Torres, 2B	2-3	1	1	1
4G.Stanton, DH	2-3	0	0	0
4G. Allen, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4G. Allen, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Volpe, SS	0-2	0	0	1
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-3	0	0	0