Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 22, 2024

Blue Jays at Royals

11:40 pm • BSKC

Toronto Blue Jays

12-6

5 - 3

Kansas City Royals

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Singer			3.71	9-13
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 12-6	-1.5+136	o9-120	-121
Royals 12-8	+1.5-162	u9-101	+102

Monday 11:40 p.m.

April 22, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Over 9.5-122

N.Velazquez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

1.05u

Y.Kikuchi u6.5 Ks-160

0.31u

Ballpark pal projects 5.14 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -220 giving value to this number

TOR -115

Over 8.5-112

0.56u

Bet to 9 (-110)

Featured Insight
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .749 since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Royals RPs have allowed an OPS of .761 (5,636 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Blue Jays RPs since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Royals are just 8-21 (.276) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Bo Bichette is batting .298 since last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .300 (91-for-303) against Brady Singer since last season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Trevor Richards has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (6 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 -- 90th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (152 balls in play) -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (23/33) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	BAL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 9	BAL -111
Apr 20th	BAL	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL +102
Apr 19th	BAL	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 9	KC +114
Apr 17th	@CWS	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CWS -166
Apr 17th	@CWS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -185

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	81	6	4	2
RE.Swanson, P	12	1	1	0
RY.Garcia, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Romano, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2V.Guerrero, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3B.Bichette, SS	1-4	0	0	3
4J.Turner, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
4K.Kiermaier, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	1-3	1	1	2
5D.Varsho, LF	1-3	1	1	2
6D.Schneider, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Schneider, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Biggio, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Biggio, 1B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Singer, P	107	6	5	5
RT.Duffey, P	37	2	3	0
RN.Anderson, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	2-4	0	0	0
5N.Velazquez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, PH	1-2	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7K.Isbel, PH	1-2	1	1	1
7K.Isbel, CF	1-2	1	1	1
8M.Massey, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9D.Blanco, LF	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Blanco, RF	1-3	1	0	0