Braves vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Braves at Astros

6:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

0-2

5 - 4

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.France			7.46	0-3
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+114	o9.5-112	-134
Astros 0-2	+1.5-135	u9.5-107	+114

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

M.Fried u4.5 Ks-110

A.Bregman o0.5 RBI+140

0.49u

Bet365 2:08.

M.Fried u4.5 Ks-110

0.91u

@the_oddsmaker

M.Fried u4.5 Ks-110

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

M.Fried u4.5 Ks-110

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.5u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

HOU +120

1.5u

Houston at plus chicky would feed Africa

HOU +127

ATL -1.5+116

HOU +132

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +125

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have an OPS of .852 this season -- best in MLB. Astros RPs have allowed an OPS of .762 (306 PAs) this season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Astros scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB (105 games). The Braves allowed 2.4 runs per game while leading last season -- tied for third highest in MLB (139 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

46% of fastball strikeouts for Yordan Alvarez are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 48% of Max Fried fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Jeremy Pena had a groundball rate of 55% last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% against Max Fried last season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.3 MPH (20 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .234 (406 PA's) versus the top of the order since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .323 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (31/226) against J.P. France on elevated fastballs since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	ATL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL -108
Apr 16th	ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL -101
Apr 14th	TEX	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU -117
Apr 13th	TEX	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -136
Apr 13th	TEX	L 8-12	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -125

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	96	5	2	3
RJ.Chavez, P	22	1	2	1
RP.Johnson, P	22	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	17	1.1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	5	0.2	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	1	1	1
2M.Harris, CF	1-5	2	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-5	1	1	1
6O.Arcia, SS	2-4	0	0	2
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D. Fletcher, 2B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P	90	5	4	2
RR.Montero, P	16	1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	15	1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	27	1	2	1
LJ.Hader, P	15	1	3	0
RS.Martinez, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	2-5	2	1	1
3A.Bregman, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
3J.Meyers, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5Y.Diaz, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, CF	1-4	1	1	1
8J.Abreu, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Singleton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Singleton, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, C	0-4	0	0	0