Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2022

Braves at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Atlanta Braves

7-7

0 - 4

Miami Marlins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.32	4-7
B.Elder			3.17	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5+112	o7-122	-162
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-134	u7+100	+136

Monday 10:40 p.m.

October 03, 2022

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +1.5-132

0.76u

MIA +130 (F5)

0.65u

Wynn. Bet to +113

MIA +0.5 (F5)-110

0.5u

Bet to -127

Monday MLB System Predictions
Avery Zimmerman•
Oct 3, 2022 UTC

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The Braves are 107-82 (.566) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Marcell Ozuna is batting just .222 this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .186 (52-for-280) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- tied for fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (29/56) -- 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (23/41) against Bryce Elder -- tied for 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- 89th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 2nd	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +150
Oct 1st	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +155
Oct 1st	@MIL	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 6	MIL +155
Sep 29th	@MIL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +148
Sep 28th	@NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 6.5	NYM +165

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	98	5	5	4
LT.Matzek, P	12	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	17	1	1	0
RS. Bracho, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Luzardo, P	101	6	12
RJ. Brigham, P	12	1	1
RB.Hoeing, P	11	1	0
LR. Bleier, P	7	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Berti, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Wendle, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, CF	3-4	2	1	3
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, DH	3-4	0	0	1
6N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Bleday, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9L. Díaz, 1B	0-2	0	0	0