Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2023

Braves at Phillies

5:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

10 - 8

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
C.Morton			3.64	14-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-109	o10-111	-175
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-110	u10-110	+143

Monday 5:05 p.m.

September 11, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 10-110

0.91u

Tailing the baseball goats of twitter

PHI +1.5-128

Over 5 (F5)-115

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing since last season -- seventh-highest in MLB (212 games). The Braves have allowed 2.2 runs per game while leading since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB (239 games).

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 44% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- seventh-worst in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Monday
Billy Ward•
Sep 11, 2023 UTC
Braves vs. Phillies: Offense Should Dominate Game 1
Mike Ianniello•
Sep 11, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Trea Turner is batting .302 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Trea Turner is batting .271 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 86th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (267/654) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (156 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196
Sep 8th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -140
Sep 6th	@SD	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -120
Sep 6th	@SD	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9	SD +110

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	104	6	9	4
LD.Lee, P	8	0.1	0	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	11	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	13	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	15	1	1	2
RK.Yates, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5F.Wall, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5F.Wall, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Pillar, PH	1-1	1	0	1
6K.Pillar, LF	1-1	1	0	1
7T.d'Arnaud, C	0-5	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	2-5	1	0	1
9M.Harris, CF	2-4	3	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	103	5.1	5	5
RA. Bellatti, P	21	1.2	1	2
RD.Covey, P	18	2	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-4	3	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	2	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	2-3	3	1	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	3
5B.Stott, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Pache, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Pache, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Cave, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0	0