Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Brewers at Cardinals

6:15 pm • BSMW

Milwaukee Brewers

8-9

2 - 0

St. Louis Cardinals

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
C.Rea			4.29	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 8-9	+1.5-155	o7.5-105	+137
Cardinals 8-10	-1.5+130	u7.5-115	-166

Sunday 6:15 p.m.

April 21, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

... early unders for division games and game just went over Overall: 325-245-28,57% (ROI:10%) Season:0-2-0,0% (ROI:-100%)

Under 7.5-115

1.5u

MIL +140

1.4u

Featured Insight
The Brewers are batting .335 with RISP this season -- tied for best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .313 (21-for-67) against Cardinals RPs with RISP this season -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cardinals RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 30% against LHP this season -- second highest in MLB.

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MLB Best Bets: Sunday's Expert Picks
Action Network•
Apr 21, 2024 UTC
MLB NRFI Model Predictions for Sunday
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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

William Contreras is batting .348 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Giovanny Gallegos has thrown a breaking pitch 61% of the time this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 -- third Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .546 (306 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	MIL	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -140
Apr 20th	MIL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	MIL +102
Apr 17th	@ATH	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	ATH -130
Apr 17th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -143
Apr 16th	@ATH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	STL -174

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Rea, P	89	5	3
LB.Hudson, P	35	2.1	4
RE.Peguero, P	14	0.2	0
RJ.Payamps, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Frelick, LF	0-3	0	0
1J.Wiemer, PH	0-1	0	0
1J.Wiemer, LF	0-1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	2-4	0	0
4R.Hoskins, DH	0-4	0	0
5B.Perkins, CF	1-3	1	0
6B.Turang, 2B	2-4	1	0
7O.Miller, 1B	1-4	0	2
8J.Ortiz, 3B	0-2	0	0
9J.Chourio, RF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	93	6.1	12	2
LJ.Romero, P	8	1	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	10	0.2	1	0
LM.Liberatore, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-5	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Burleson, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Winn, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0