Brewers vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Brewers at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

6 - 2

Chicago Cubs

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-192	o9+100	+108
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+160	u9-121	-130

Tuesday 12:05 a.m.

August 29, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

MIL +106

1.06u

J.Taillon u16.5 Outs+104

Taillon with a 5.85 ERA at home this season, under this line in 8/12 home starts. Sucks vs lefties (.879 OPS) and the third time through the order (.828 OPS). MIL sees a ton of pitches per PA (4.01 is second highest) and started 4 lefties today. This is also an incredibly crucial series for both teams - I don’t see Ross letting Taillon work through too much trouble.

MIL +106

1.06u

Under 9-115

$0.87

CHC -125 (F5)

0.63u

Need -125

Under 9-122

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-108)

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fourth-lowest in MLB (74 games). The Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- tied for fourth-lowest in MLB (84 games).

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored just 1.9 runs per game while trailing over the last two weeks -- fourth-lowest in MLB (96 games). The Cubs have allowed just 1.9 runs per game while leading over the last two weeks -- tied for second-lowest in MLB (105 games).

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The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of just .654 last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Devin Williams allowed an OPS of just .472 (240 PAs) last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has struck out in just 13% of PA's this season -- 11th lowest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Wade Miley has a strikeout rate of just 14% vs right-handed batters this season -- fourth lowest among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP-- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	@PIT	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 9	CHC -130
Aug 26th	@PIT	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -130
Aug 25th	@PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -118
Aug 24th	@PIT	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -192
Aug 23rd	@DET	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +105

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	82	6	1	2
RE.Peguero, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Payamps, P	16	1	1	0
LH.Milner, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	2-5	2	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	1	0	1
3S.Frelick, CF	2-4	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	2-4	1	0	1
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
6M.Canha, DH	1-4	1	1	2
7A.Monasterio, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	99	6	6	4
LD.Smyly, P	16	1	2	1
RJ.Cuas, P	32	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, DH	1-3	1	1	1
9N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0