Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Brewers at Mets

5:40 pm • SNY

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

4 - 1

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
C.Rea			4.29	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-170	o8-112	+120
Mets 7-6	-1.5+142	u8-108	-142

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

March 31, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 8-110

0.91u

MLB System Play #2

NYM -135

1.35u

F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases+112

MIL +128 (F5)

1.28u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the BrewersRPs since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season -- tied for third highest in MLB. Brewers have struck out 23% since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Sunday
Charlie Disturco•
Mar 31, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 11-110 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Pete Alonso is slugging .501 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Alex Lange has thrown his curveball 54% of the time since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Pete Alonso hit 15 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for sixth most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Alex Lange threw his curveball 58% of the time last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (79/359) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	MIL	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -130
Mar 29th	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -115
Mar 25th	@NYY	L 0-3	-	-	-
Mar 24th	@MIA	L 1-5	-	-	-
Mar 24th	WSH	W 10-1	-	-	-

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	84	5	2	1
LB.Hudson, P	37	3	4	0
RJ.Payamps, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Frelick, CF	0-4	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	1	1
3C.Yelich, LF	0-2	1	0
4W.Adames, SS	2-3	0	1
5O.Dunn, DH	1-3	0	1
5G.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0
5G.Sanchez, DH	0-1	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	2-4	2	0
9J.Chourio, RF	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	78	4	4	1
RY.Ramirez, P	41	3	2	2
RD.Smith, P	25	1	2	0
LB.Raley, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0
4J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0
6F.Alvarez, DH	2-3	1	0
7B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	1
9O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0