Brewers vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 2, 2023

Brewers at Nationals

5:05 pm • MASN

Milwaukee Brewers

8-9

2 - 3

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			4.42	7-10
W.Miley			3.14	9-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 8-9	-1.5+125	o9-107	-130
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-152	u9-112	+110

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

August 02, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 9-112

0.98u

WSH o4.5+118

0.5u

Missed the start, got in live

W. Miley u3.5 Ks+120

WSH +1.5-141

Over 8.5-120

1.2u

Over 8.5-120

0.6u

Bet to -125 or 9 (-105)

W.Miley u3.5 Ks+120

MGM. Under in 8/12 full starts. Coming off the IL without having pitched at any level since 7/9 - last time he missed almost a month (earlier this season), he was limited to 77 pitches despite having pitched in a rehab outing. On top of all of that, he gets the Nats who have consistently stayed well below average in K’ing vs lefties all season.

Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored just 4.1 runs per game over the last two weeks -- seventh-lowest in MLB (121 games). The Brewers have allowed just 4.1 runs per game over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth-lowest in MLB (121 games).

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored first in 55% of their games since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. The Nationals have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games since last season -- third-highest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames is batting just .205 on fastballs this season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. MacKenzie Gore has thrown fastballs 60% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Christian Yelich is slugging .591 on fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. MacKenzie Gore has thrown fastballs 60% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (465/835) since the 2021 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (135/276) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 1st	MIL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	MIL +138
Jul 31st	MIL	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH +175
Jul 30th	@NYM	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +192
Jul 29th	@NYM	W 11-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +147
Jul 28th	@NYM	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +160

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	60	4	5	1
LH.Milner, P	11	0.2	0	0
RB.Wilson, P	21	1.1	0	0
RE.Peguero, P	8	1	0	0
RJ.Payamps, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	21	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, DH	1-4	0	0	1
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Perkins, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, RF	1-2	1	1	1
6S.Frelick, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Monasterio, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	89	6	5	2
RJ.Weems, P	20	1.1	0	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	2	0.2	0	0
RK.Finnegan, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	1-4	0	0
4S.Garrett, LF	0-2	0	0
4C. Dickerson, PH	0-1	1	0
5D.Smith, 1B	1-2	0	0
5I.Vargas, PR	0-0	1	0
6R.Adams, C	0-2	0	0
6K.Ruiz, PH	0-0	0	0
7A.Call, CF	1-4	1	0
8J. Alu, 3B	1-3	0	1
9M. Chavis, 2B	1-2	0	0
9L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0
9L.Garcia, 2B	0-1	0	0