Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Cardinals at Diamondbacks

8:10 pm • ARID

St. Louis Cardinals

8-11

0 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Gallen			3.65	14-6
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 8-11	+1.5-168	o8.5-120	+120
Diamondbacks 10-10	-1.5+142	u8.5+100	-142

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

STL +130

STL +135

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +125

Z.Gallen u6.5 Ks-150

1.5u

Over 8.5-120

$60.00

Over 8.5-115

0.5u

@cowhitchurch

Z.Gallen o17.5 Outs-120

Dating back to last season, Gallen has dominated at home. 11 IP 6 H 1 R this season, 2.47 ERA last year (and 6+ IP in 16/18 starts). STL currently ranks 23rd and 20th in wRC+ and OPS vs RHP, respectively, and they’re below avg in pitches seen per PA. 8/L8 righties have hit this vs them, and 10/13 overall this season.

Featured Insight
Cardinals hitters had a hard-hit rate of 42% last season -- third best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks left-handed hitters struck out just 20% against RHP last season -- seventh lowest in MLB. Cardinals RPs had a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 6-77 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Diamondbacks are 73-18 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Cardinals are 12-9 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Paul Goldschmidt had a hard-hit rate of 45% on non-fastballs last season -- tied for 14th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 43% against Zac Gallen non-fastballs last season -- 12th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Eugenio Suarez struck out in 31% of PA's in the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Ryan Helsley had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (30/66) this season -- lowest among in NL; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124
Apr 10th	@COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 11	ARI -115
Apr 10th	@COL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 11	ARI -182
Apr 9th	@COL	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 10.5	COL -175

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	75	4.2	3	5
RA.Pallante, P	22	1	0	0
RR.Fernandez, P	43	2.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3N.Gorman, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7I.Herrera, C	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Walker, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9V.Scott, CF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Gallen, P	90	6	7
LJ.Mantiply, P	18	1.1	1
RB.Jarvis, P	21	1.2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	0-3	1	0
2C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	2
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	3-4	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	0
6J. Peterson, 3B	0-3	0	1
7J.McCarthy, RF	2-3	1	1
8B.Alexander, SS	0-3	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	0-2	1	0