Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

Chicago Cubs

17-12

6 - 10

Milwaukee Brewers

14-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Wilson			4.04	5-4
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 17-12	-1.5+120	o7.5-115	-148
Brewers 14-15	+1.5-141	u7.5-105	+124

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

S.Imanaga o17.5 Outs+277

0.25u

MIL +128

1.28u

I.Happ o1.5 Total Bases+150

1.5u

Under 7.5+100

CHC -138 (F5)

0.69u

Bet to -143

S.Imanaga o17.5 Outs-165

$1500.00

-165 on Bet365

S.Imanaga o6.5 Ks-120

1.56u

Blended rate from FD (-113) and DK/Caesars (-135). Imanaga has been on one - 7+ Ks in 5 straight games with a 0.84 ERA overall. Missing bats at an incredible rate lately too - 15+ whiffs in each of his last 5. That should bode well against MIL, who find themselves in a ton of 2 strike counts (3rd highest CSW% and highest called strike rate). They’ve struggled more vs lefties too (24% K% 92 wRC+). First time seeing Imanaga too - his arsenal tough to figure out on the fly.

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Featured Insight
Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of just .593 (216 PAs) over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .545 over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Cubs are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

32% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 38% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Brice Turang is batting .371 on fastballs this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Shota Imanaga has thrown fastballs 59% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (43/230) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season -- lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (33/90) against Shota Imanaga on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 96th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .234 (209 PA's) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (35/159) against Bryse Wilson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 8th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 30% -- 10th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 9-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Brewers' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	17-12	8-5	9-7	9-5	7-7
Cubs	15-14	8-8	7-6	8-6	7-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	11-15-3	5-7-1	6-8-2	5-8-1	6-6-2
Cubs	18-10-1	11-5	7-5-1	9-5	9-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	14-15	9-4	5-11	10-4	3-11
Cubs	17-12	9-7	8-5	10-4	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	CHC	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -165
May 27th	CHC	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL -105
May 26th	@BOS	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS +120
May 25th	@BOS	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +130
May 24th	@BOS	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIL +114

Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P		81	4.1	1	7
RK.Hendricks, P		46	3.2	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-5	2	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-5	2	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	1	2
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Busch, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	1
7P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0	1
8D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	1
9Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Wilson, P	82	4	1	3
LJ.Koenig, P	37	2	3	0
RE.Paredes, P	11	1	1	0
RM.White, P	28	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Ortiz, 3B	2-3	3	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-4	2	1	3
4W.Adames, SS	2-3	2	1	3
5G.Sanchez, DH	1-4	1	0	2
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	2-4	1	1	2
8J.Chourio, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0