Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

Chicago Cubs

3-0

6 - 10

Milwaukee Brewers

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Wilson			4.04	5-4
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-0	-1.5+120	o7.5-115	-148
Brewers 1-0	+1.5-141	u7.5-105	+124

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

S.Imanaga o17.5 Outs+277

0.25u

I.Happ o1.5 Total Bases+150

1.5u

Under 7.5+100

CHC -138 (F5)

0.69u

Bet to -143

S.Imanaga o17.5 Outs-165

$1500.00

-165 on Bet365

S.Imanaga o6.5 Ks-120

1.56u

Blended rate from FD (-113) and DK/Caesars (-135). Imanaga has been on one - 7+ Ks in 5 straight games with a 0.84 ERA overall. Missing bats at an incredible rate lately too - 15+ whiffs in each of his last 5. That should bode well against MIL, who find themselves in a ton of 2 strike counts (3rd highest CSW% and highest called strike rate). They’ve struggled more vs lefties too (24% K% 92 wRC+). First time seeing Imanaga too - his arsenal tough to figure out on the fly.

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Featured Insight
Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of just .593 (216 PAs) over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .545 over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Cubs are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

32% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 38% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Brice Turang is batting .371 on fastballs this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Shota Imanaga has thrown fastballs 59% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (43/230) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season -- lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (33/90) against Shota Imanaga on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 96th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .234 (209 PA's) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (35/159) against Bryse Wilson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 8th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 30% -- 10th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	CHC	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -165
May 27th	CHC	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL -105
May 26th	@BOS	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS +120
May 25th	@BOS	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +130
May 24th	@BOS	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIL +114

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P		81	4.1	1	7
RK.Hendricks, P		46	3.2	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-5	2	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-5	2	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	1	2
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Busch, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	1
7P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0	1
8D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	1
9Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Wilson, P	82	4	1	3
LJ.Koenig, P	37	2	3	0
RE.Paredes, P	11	1	1	0
RM.White, P	28	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Ortiz, 3B	2-3	3	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-4	2	1	3
4W.Adames, SS	2-3	2	1	3
5G.Sanchez, DH	1-4	1	0	2
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	2-4	1	1	2
8J.Chourio, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0