Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2023

Cubs at Cardinals

11:45 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

0-0

10 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+160	o9.5+100	+102
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-185	u9.5-120	-120

Thursday 11:45 p.m.

July 27, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Over 9.5+100

CHC -106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -110

Under 9.5-109

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/cubs-vs-cardinals-pick-today-mlb-odds-predictions-thursday-july-27

STL -115

1.15u

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-140

$125.00

A cappercentral legend Analysis: When’s the last time Steele didn’t go 6 on the road? Last year. Steele has also gone 6 specifically against the cardinals his last 4 time outs, and the only reason he didn’t prior was because he was a rookie on a short PC. Steele is a top 10 pitcher so I don’t have to dive into his stats. Cubs also used their BP yesterday and if Steele gets into some trouble they’ll want to keep him in until 6 minimum. Cards have solid stats against Steele but he locks in with runners on base and similar to cease, he has the ability to pitch into the 100s but he probably won’t have to. Cards are a bottom team in P/PA and although they had a little offensive explosion vs the Dbacks, I don’t foresee that to continue. BOL

Under 9.5-110

1.1u

Under 9.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -118 or 9 (+100)

CHC +100

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The Cardinals are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nico Hoerner has struck out in just 13% of PA's this season -- 11th lowest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters this season -- second lowest among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has struck out in just 12% of PA's since last season -- sixth lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 17% vs right-handed batters since last season -- 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 32% (86 SO in 268 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (59/377) against Miles Mikolas this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@ARI	W 11-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +131
Jul 26th	@ARI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -110
Jul 25th	@ARI	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 10	STL +140
Jul 23rd	@CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -120
Jul 22nd	@CHC	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CHC -125

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	92	6	4	1
RD.Palencia, P	13	1	2	0
LA. Kay, P	24	1	1	2
RM.Rucker, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	3-6	1	1	2
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2P.Wisdom, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2P.Wisdom, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	1	0	1
6D.Swanson, SS	1-2	2	0	1
6T. Mancini, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6T. Mancini, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	3-4	3	0	2
7C.Morel, 2B	3-4	3	0	2
8Y.Gomes, C	2-4	0	0	3
8M.Amaya, C	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
9M.Mastrobuoni, SS	1-5	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	14	0.2	1	1
RD.Hudson, P	93	4.1	3	5
LA. Suárez, P	45	2	0	3
RD. VerHagen, P	43	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, DH	0-5	0	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
3N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
3P.DeJong, SS	0-1	0	0	0
4W.Contreras, C	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Knizner, C	2-4	2	2	3
5T.O'Neill, LF	3-3	0	0	0
6J.Walker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Carlson, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9T. Motter, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9T. Motter, 3B	0-4	0	0	0