Cubs vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2024

Cubs at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN2

Chicago Cubs

3-4

9 - 2

Baltimore Orioles

3-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-4	+1.5-126	o9-105	+157
Orioles 3-2	-1.5+106	u9-115	-188

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

July 09, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+110

$500.00

BAL -180

$500.00

BAL -1.5+130

CHC +150 (F5)

0.38u

Small to +142

CHC +155

0.39u

Small to +145

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks-165

FTN Model play of the day

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks-134

J.Taillon u4.5 Ks-128

$64.00

CHC +130

3.9u

Over 9-120

0.83u

Today’s Trend (see Twitter)

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 46% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Orioles over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Cubs have struck out 27% over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 18-27 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.

38% of Christopher Morel strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 42% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Adley Rutschman is batting just .191 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Jameson Taillon has thrown his curveball 26% of the time since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 52% (343/658) of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- sixth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 55% of the time (457/827) when behind in the count since last season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Orioles' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-2	1-0	2-2	1-0	2-2
Cubs	3-4	0-2	3-2	1-0	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	4-1	1-0	3-1	1-0	3-1
Cubs	4-2-1	1-1	3-1-1	1-0	3-2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-2	1-0	2-2	1-0	2-2
Cubs	3-4	0-2	3-2	1-0	2-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 7th	@ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -176
Jul 6th	@ATH	L 8-19	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -159
Jul 6th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -166
Jul 4th	@SEA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 7	SEA -154
Jul 4th	@SEA	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7	BAL +124

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Gunnar Henderson
IF
Henderson is out with side
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	88	6	7	2
RT.Miller, P	15	1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	8	1	1	0
RH.Bigge, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	2	0	1
2M.Busch, 1B	4-6	2	1	1
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, RF	1-5	1	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	1	0	2
4P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	1	3
6C.Morel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	1
8M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	85	4	3	5
RB.Baker, P	33	2	3	0
LK.Akin, P	42	2	4	1
RD.Tate, P	23	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0