Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Cubs at Pirates

5:35 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

0-0

5 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+132	o9-106	-120
Pirates 0-0	u7.5	+1.5-157	u9-113	+100

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

May 12, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -103

$2000.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

1.65u

C.Morel o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

0.4u

C.Morel o0.5 HR+390

0.39u

B.Falter u4.5 Ks-135

0.74u

Ballpark pal projects 3.71 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -169 giving value to this number

Over 7.5-105

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored first in just 44% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 23-19 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Michael Busch has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- tied for fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .565 (144 Total Bases / 255 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .373 -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .982 (54 Total Bases / 55 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .541 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (21/160) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	CHC	W 10-9	+1.5 W	O 7	PIT -107
May 10th	CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 7	CHC -130
May 8th	LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -135
May 7th	LAA	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	LAA -135
May 6th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -170

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	94	5	5	1
LR.Lovelady, P	11	0.1	0	1
RC.Brewer, P	26	1	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	17	1.2	2	0
RH.Neris, P	22	1	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	1-2	1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, DH	0-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	0	0	1
3C.Bellinger, RF	1-5	0	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
4M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 1B	3-4	1	1	1
6M.Tauchman, RF	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Tauchman, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7I.Happ, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	1-1	0	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-1	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Busch, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	81	6	1	2
RL.Ortiz, P	35	2	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	20	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	23	0.2	0	1
RK.Nicolas, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-5	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-5	2	1	1
4C.Joe, RF	2-4	2	1	2
4C.Joe, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
5J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
7R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, PR	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9E.Olivares, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Gonzales, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9N.Gonzales, 2B	0-0	0	0	0