Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2023

Diamondbacks at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SNET

Arizona Diamondbacks

11-10

2 - 7

Toronto Blue Jays

12-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.65	11-12
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 11-10	+1.5-137	o9-120	+150
Blue Jays 12-7	-1.5+112	u9+100	-179

Friday 11:07 p.m.

July 14, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

ARI +155

R.Nelson o15.5 Outs+125

$125.00

J.Berrios o17.5 Outs-135

J.Berrios o17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Berrios is over this line in 11/L15 starts, incl 5/6 at home (miss was by 1 out). ARI really limped into the break (offensively) - last 2 weeks before the break, they had an 80 wRC+ vs righties (25th) and a .670 OPS (23rd). ARI also is below league avg in pitches per PA and Berrios at 3.72 is 23rd lowest out of 106. And as a team, ground ball pitching is the DBacks weakest split (.245 BA, .720 OPS).

TOR o4.5-145

2.07u

TOR o4.5-145

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The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bo Bichette is slugging .487 on non-fastballs since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kyle Nelson has thrown off-speed pitches 65% of the time since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Bo Bichette is batting .308 against RHP this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .284 (55-for-194) against Ryne Nelson this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .286 against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for eighth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile. Opponents batted .402 (37-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .286 (16-for-56) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 -- 88th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@DET	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	TOR -138
Jul 8th	@DET	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -225
Jul 7th	@DET	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 9	TOR -137
Jul 7th	@CWS	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	TOR -135
Jul 6th	@CWS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	TOR -140

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	97	5.2	3	1
LK.Nelson, P	12	0.1	0	1
RA.Adams, P	28	0.2	0	3
RJ.Martinez, P	27	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6E. Longoria, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
6D.Canzone, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	1	1
9A.Thomas, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	90	5.1	4	1
RT.Richards, P	24	1.2	3	1
RN.Pearson, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Jackson, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	2-5	0	0	0
3B. Belt, DH	2-4	0	0	1
3C.Biggio, PR	1-1	1	0	0
3C.Biggio, DH	1-1	1	0	0
4V.Guerrero, 1B	2-5	2	1	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	3-4	2	0	1
6W.Merrifield, 2B	2-5	1	0	2
7D.Varsho, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-3	1	0	1