Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 20, 2023

Diamondbacks at Braves

4:20 pm • BSSO

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

5 - 7

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Strider			3.86	20-5
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5-110	o9-105	+175
Braves 0-2	-1.5-110	u9-115	-210

Thursday 4:20 p.m.

July 20, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL -190 (F5)

0.95u

Bet to -192

ATL -130

$134.62

READ: Braves to NOT BAT BOTTOM 9 - prop via DK. Alt play here is -1, I would honestly play tt o 4.5 though. Strider’s home #s inflated after an absolute beat down vs the Mets. He’s been stellar at home and owns great numbers vs the Dbacks lineup. Vice versa, Gallen is awful on the road and has rough numbers vs the Braves bats (top bats have great BA/OBP). Shouldn’t be a beat down, but the Braves should put up 5 with ease with strider doing his usual work and holding the Dbacks at bay. Also, we get an opportunity to bet against the Braves getting swept. Always a favorable side and a rare opportunity for ATL. Would’ve been a 2U, but so many plays I like - have to manage that BR.

Under 9-120

1.2u

ARI +167

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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Sean Murphy is batting .515 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 141 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Zac Gallen has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (176 SO in 452 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	ARI	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 10	ARI -240
Jul 18th	ARI	L 13-16	-1.5 L	O 10.5	ARI -194
Jul 16th	CWS	L 1-8	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CWS -174
Jul 15th	CWS	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CWS -310
Jul 14th	CWS	W 9-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -275

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	99	7	5	3
RM.Castro, P	16	0.2	0	3
LK.Nelson, P	7	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	1-3	2	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5D.Canzone, DH	1-4	1	1	3
6E.Rivera, 3B	2-3	1	1	1
7J.McCarthy, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	100	6	13	4
RB.Heller, P	7	1	0	0
RK.Yates, P	16	1	2	1
RR.Iglesias, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	2	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	1
9M.Harris, CF	2-3	1	0	0