Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2023

Diamondbacks at Cubs

11:40 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

9-10

6 - 2

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.05	5-3
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 9-10	+1.5-145	o8.5-110	+135
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+120	u8.5-113	-165

Thursday 11:40 p.m.

September 07, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

ARI +1+100

ARI +171

0.86u

Bet to +147

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-102)

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- fifth-highest in MLB (147 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- 10th-highest in MLB (146 games).

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% this season -- 10th-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Cubs this season -- third-best in MLB.

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The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Cody Bellinger is slugging .633 on breaking pitches this season -- second best among hitters with at least 207 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Nelson has thrown a breaking pitch 65% of the time this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Javier Assad has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (127/245) of opposing batters this season -- 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 6th	SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 11	CHC -151
Sep 5th	SF	W 11-8	-1.5 W	O 10.5	CHC -125
Sep 4th	SF	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -130
Sep 3rd	@CIN	W 15-7	-1.5 W	O 10	CHC -150
Sep 2nd	@CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -124

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	73	5.2	3	1
LA.Saalfrank, P	7	0.1	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	10	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	8	1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	21	0.2	1	1
RP.Sewald, P	4	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-5	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3T.Pham, LF	2-5	2	2	3
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	1-2	0	0	0
7P.Smith, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Lawlar, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	87	5.1	0	3
RK.Thompson, P	41	2.1	2	2
RH.Wesneski, P	23	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	0	0
1N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	1
6S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	1	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	0-2	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0
9C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0