Giants vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2023

Giants at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

San Francisco Giants

13-3

16 - 6

Chicago White Sox

5-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Lynn			6.47	6-9
A.Wood			4.33	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 13-3	+1.5-192	o8.5-102	-105
White Sox 5-12	-1.5+160	u8.5-110	-120

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

April 06, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

L.Wade Jr. o0.5 HR+625

0.15u

Bet365 1:35. @The_Oddsmaker

L.Wade Jr. o0.5 HR+650

0.2u

Bet365: Wade has hit all 28 of his career HRs off RHP (0 HR in 91 PA against lefties). A lot of that has to do with his ability to hit the ball in the air against RHP (47% fly ball rate against RHP compared to just 29% against LHP). The fly ball rate hasn’t been there for him early in the season but his launch angle is in line with his career rate, so the fly balls are coming. Lance Lynn can typically be projected to allow a 40%+ fly ball rate and since he struggled with his command in the opener I would imagine he will work on throwing more balls in the zone today. Wade is hitting leadoff so should be able to face Lynn 3 times. It’s also a massive boost in HR upside playing at Guaranteed Rate Field compared to Oracle Park. Projecting this closer to +400

Under 8-105

SF +105

1.05u

SF +106

$26.50

Mjay

SF +105

1.05u

CWS -140 (F5)

0.7u

SF +115

1.15u

Under 8-110

L.Lynn u18.5 Outs-130

Too high of a line this early in the season against a team that’s going to work the count (first in pitches per plate appearance so far this season). Lynn is a horse who will get in 95+ pitches, but with the colder temps, I don’t see the White Sox pushing him past 6 innings.

CWS -142

1.42u

CWS -127 (F5)

0.64u

Bet to -140

Giants vs. White Sox: Target the Total in Chicago
Kenny Ducey•
Apr 6, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 6, 2023 UTC

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The White Sox were 26-30 (.464) when underdogs in 2022 -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The White Sox are 24-27 (.471) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Giants are 27-16 (.628) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Giants are 58-49 (.542) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Mike Yastrzemski batted just .229 on fastballs last season -- tied for 10th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Lance Lynn threw fastballs 62% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Lance Lynn has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 41% (17/42) of the time this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Alex Wood threw his curveball 37% of the time (154/416) when behind in the count in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	SF	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS -134
Apr 3rd	SF	L 3-12	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -140
Apr 2nd	@HOU	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS +122
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +117
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8	HOU +130

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Wood, P	71	3	3	1
RJ.Junis, P	69	4	4	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	15	1	2	0
RM. Beaty, P	22	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, LF	1-2	1	0	0
1B.Johnson, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2W.Flores, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Pederson, DH	1-4	0	0	2
3M. Beaty, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4D.Villar, 2B	2-5	3	0	0
5M.Conforto, RF	3-4	3	1	3
6J.Davis, 3B	3-6	2	1	5
7M.Yastrzemski, CF	1-6	1	1	2
7M.Yastrzemski, LF	1-6	1	1	2
8T.Estrada, SS	3-6	1	0	1
9B.Sabol, C	3-6	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	99	4.1	5	8
RJ.Ruiz, P	37	1.2	1	2
RG.Santos, P	33	2	3	2
RH. Alberto, P	18	1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	1-5	0	2
2L.Robert, CF	1-4	0	0
2O.Colas, CF	0-1	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	1-3	0	1
4J.Burger, DH	1-2	0	0
4G.Sheets, PH	0-1	1	0
4G.Sheets, DH	0-1	1	0
4G.Sheets, RF	0-1	1	0
5H. Alberto, 3B	2-5	1	0
6A.Benintendi, LF	1-5	1	1
7E. Andrus, 2B	2-4	1	2
8S.Zavala, C	1-5	2	0
9R.Gonzalez, RF	1-4	0	0
9R.Gonzalez, 3B	1-4	0	0