Guardians vs. Athletics Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Guardians at Athletics

8:07 pm • NBCS-CA

Cleveland Guardians

7-12

12 - 3

Athletics

11-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Sears			4.38	11-13
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 7-12	-1.5+130	o7.5-108	-130
Athletics 11-9	+1.5-155	u7.5-111	+110

Saturday 8:07 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Oakland ColiseumOakland

CLE -130

0.77u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

0.42u

CLE -130

0.77u

CLE -130

Under 7.5-110

Over in both matchups - 7.5? I bet

OAK +120

T.Bibee u6.5 Ks-130

It’s a line he stayed under in 17/25 starts last season, averaging a K every 16.4 pitches. Average whiff rate last season (52nd percentile) and didn’t flash anything specificity different in spring training (17 Ks in 18 IP). He is built up, but likely doesn’t go more than 85 pitches (consistent with CLE’s first two starters this season). And yes, it’s OAK, but even at a 25% K% vs righties, I don’t see Bibee facing more than 24 hitters today…

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .223 (935-for-4,184) against GuardiansRPs since the 2022 season -- sixth best in MLB. The Athletics are batting just .215 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Athletics hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last week -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Guardians over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Mar 30, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians were just 14-23 (.378) after a road win in 2023 -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

66% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 49% of Ross Stripling fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Nick Allen has an OPS of just .547 since the 2022 season -- second worst among hitters with at least 484 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .522 (573 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA's) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 -- 98th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Athletics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Athletics are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Athletics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Athletics' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	CLE	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8	CLE +113
Mar 29th	CLE	L 0-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +120
Mar 27th	@SF	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATH +114
Mar 26th	SF	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -108
Mar 23rd	LAA	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10.5	ATH -151

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	88	4	4	3
RN.Sandlin, P	17	1	2	0
RC.Smith, P	34	2	5	0
RT.Beede, P	24	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	3	1	2
2J.Ramirez, DH	2-6	1	0	1
3R.Laureano, RF	1-2	0	0	0
3W.Brennan, PH	1-3	0	0	0
3W.Brennan, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4D.Fry, 1B	1-2	1	0	2
5T.Freeman, CF	1-5	1	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	2	0	1
7G.Arias, 3B	2-5	2	0	2
8A.Hedges, C	1-4	0	0	2
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-5	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Sears, P	83	3.2	1	5
RD.Jimenez, P	16	1.1	0	0
LT.McFarland, P	26	1	1	2
RM.Kelly, P	13	1	2	1
RL.Erceg, P	21	1	1	0
RM.Miller, P	30	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Noda, 1B	1-4	0	1
2Z.Gelof, 2B	2-4	1	0
3J.Bleday, CF	1-5	0	0
4B.Rooker, DH	0-4	0	0
5S.Brown, LF	0-2	0	0
6J.Davis, 3B	1-3	1	0
7K.McCann, C	0-2	1	1
8L.Butler, RF	1-4	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	0-3	0	1
9D.Hernaiz, SS	0-1	0	0