Guardians vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 11, 2023

Guardians at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Cleveland Guardians

3-7

8 - 9

Tampa Bay Rays

4-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.36	2-3
X.Curry			4.07	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 3-7	+1.5-125	o8-121	+172
Rays 4-5	-1.5+105	u8-105	-210

Friday 10:40 p.m.

August 11, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB o4.5-115

TB o4.5-125

3.2u

R.Arozarena o0.5 HR+360

Third times a charm?

R.Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.82u

TB o4.5-120

1.67u

Last time I promise #fuckgreg

TB -1.5+105

$24.00

CLE +184

0.5u

Bet to +180

Under 8.5-112

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for third-lowest in MLB (116 games). The Rays have allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for sixth-lowest in MLB (117 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 3.7 runs per game at home over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB (66 games). The Rays have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB (65 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 11, 2023 UTC
Guardians vs. Rays: Bet the Over in Tampa Bay
D.J. James•
Aug 11, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Rays are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Kole Calhoun has an OPS of just .585 since last season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 412 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .531 (429 PAs) since last season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez has struck out in just 11% of PA's over the last 30 days -- tied for ninth lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 30 days -- ninth lowest among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .348 (79 Total Bases / 227 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .504 -- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 45% of the time (624/1,384) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total CUT; League Avg: 18% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 10th	STL	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	STL -202
Aug 9th	STL	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	STL -175
Aug 8th	STL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TB -171
Aug 6th	@DET	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -171
Aug 5th	@DET	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -150

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RX.Curry, P	70	5	1	5
LD. Norris, P	45	1.1	4	1
RM.Kelly, P	14	1.2	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	3	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4K. Calhoun, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0	1
6W.Brennan, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O. González, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6O. González, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	2	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	2-5	2	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	91	5	2	2
LJ.Diekman, P	27	1	0	2
LC.Poche, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	1	1
RP.Fairbanks, P	30	0.2	2	3
RR.Stephenson, P	5	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	1	0	1
2W. Franco, SS	2-4	2	1	3
3B.Lowe, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0	1
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
6L.Raley, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Margot, PH	0-2	0	0	1
6M.Margot, CF	0-2	0	0	1
7H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Lowe, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Lowe, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-2	2	0	0