Guardians vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2024

Guardians at Rays

5:40 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

0-1

0 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 0-1	+1.5-200	o7.5-119	+110
Rays 0-2	-1.5+165	u7.5-102	-130

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 14, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-122

CLE +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +112

B.Lively o4.5 Ks+110

2.2u

B.Lively o4.5 Ks+106

0.85u

B.Lowe o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

Under 8-120

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-108)

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .197 (62-for-315) against Guardians RPs with RISP this season -- best in MLB. The Rays are batting just .228 with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 2.8 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Guardians have scored just 3.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).

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PRO Projections' Top Strikeout Prop for Sunday
Action AI•
Jul 14, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .686 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Pete Fairbanks has allowed an OPS of just .542 (318 PAs) since last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Josh Naylor has a swing rate of 44% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Ryan Pepiot has allowed a SLG of just .343 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .620 (88 Total Bases / 142 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .434 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Ben Lively this month (2 games) -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 13th	CLE	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE -107
Jul 12th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -141
Jul 11th	NYY	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8	TB -101
Jul 10th	NYY	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY -122
Jul 9th	NYY	W 5-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -101

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Means
P
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	76	5.1	7	2
RC.Smith, P	22	1.2	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	2-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Fry, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5D.Fry, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RR.Pepiot, P	81	6	4
LC.Poche, P	8	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	2
RP.Fairbanks, P	19	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Lowe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Rosario, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
6J.Caballero, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	1-3	1	1	1
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0