Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Marlins at Mets

8:10 pm • SNY

Miami Marlins

6-8

2 - 5

New York Mets

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Senga			2.98	12-7
T.Rogers			4.00	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-147	o7.5-120	+147
Mets 8-9	-1.5+122	u7.5+100	-177

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

T.Rogers u16.5 Outs-130

MGM. Under this line in 9/11 away starts last season, and has struggled vs Mets in his career (4 runs in 4.1 IP this season, and 7 runs on 12 hits in 9.1 IP last season).

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-128

0.78u

NYM -1-120

MIA u3.5-136

MIA +150

0.25u

Small to +148

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 8, 2023 UTC

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The Mets are just 11-28 (.282) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Mets are 44-12 (.786) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Marlins are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pete Alonso hit 6 home runs on changeups last season -- tied for seventh most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Trevor Rogers threw his changeup 29% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 27% (17/62) against Kodai Senga in non-two strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 50% (8/16) against Kodai Senga this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (7/47) against Trevor Rogers on curveballs in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	MIA	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 8	NYM -172
Apr 5th	@MIL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +115
Apr 4th	@MIL	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -150
Apr 3rd	@MIL	L 0-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL -105
Apr 2nd	@MIA	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYM -120

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	92	4.2	5	3
RH.Brazoban, P	17	0.2	1	2
LA.Nardi, P	20	0.2	0	0
RM.Barnes, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Chargois, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-5	1	1	1
2G.Cooper, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	2-3	0	0	1
4J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Segura, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.De La Cruz, LF	0-3	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	90	6	6	1
RD.Smith, P	19	0.1	0	1
LB.Raley, P	15	0.1	0	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	13	1.1	0	0
RD.Robertson, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, DH	1-3	1	1	2
5M.Canha, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
7T.Pham, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8E. Escobar, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Nido, C	1-4	0	0	0