Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

0-0

4 - 10

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3
B.Garrett			5.35	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-164	o7.5-115	+135
Mets 7-6	-1.5+136	u7.5-105	-160

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -1.5+143

1.43u

NYM -153

1.31u

P.Alonso o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.42u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+425

0.1u

D.Peterson o4.5 Ks-145

1.45u

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .687 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .516 (423 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Pete Alonso slugged .519 on breaking pitches in the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott threw a breaking pitch 62% of the time in the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (75/134) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (309/579) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 20 of 586 right-handed batters (3%) since last season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	89	4.2	4	4
RJ.Chargois, P	21	1.1	1	0
RD.Cronin, P	16	0.2	0	2
RB.Smith, P	25	1.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Lopez, 2B	1-5	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	1
6T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0
7D.Myers, RF	1-2	1	1
7J.Sanchez, PH	0-2	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	1
8V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	84	5	1	4
RD.Nunez, P	29	2.1	5	0
LJ.Diekman, P	17	0.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2H.Bader, CF	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Martinez, DH	1-5	0	0	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6T.Taylor, LF	4-5	1	0	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	2
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	1	0	0