Marlins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Marlins at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN2

Miami Marlins

6-10

0 - 4

Washington Nationals

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 6-10	+1.5-190	o8.5-122	+105
Nationals 10-9	-1.5+160	u8.5+100	-125

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

MIA +105

D.Herz o4.5 Ks+106

1.06u

Over 9-105

1.05u

C.Abrams o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 18% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Saturday MLB Bets & Previews
Kenny Ducey•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC

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The Marlins are just 2-9 (.182) after a road win this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.

The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Marlins are just 20-14 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Joey Meneses is batting .300 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 13th best among hitters with at least 100 total PA's-- 91st Percentile. Declan Cronin has thrown his slider 56% of the time this season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

CJ Abrams has a hard-hit rate of 47% on non-fastballs down this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against Trevor Rogers on low non-fastballs this season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/28) against Davidjohn Herz this month (2 games) -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (18/45) this month (2 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Davidjohn Herz's pitches (21/53) with two-strikes this month (2 games) -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	MIA	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH -180
Jun 13th	@DET	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	DET +130
Jun 12th	@DET	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +102
Jun 11th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	WSH -102
Jun 9th	ATL	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +144

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	93	7	3	2
LA.Nardi, P	19	0.2	0	2
RA.Bender, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Myers, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Chisholm, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7J.Chisholm, CF	1-1	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-2	0	0	0
9O.Lopez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LD.Herz, P	84	6	13
RD.Floro, P	7	1	1
RH.Harvey, P	31	1	3
RK.Finnegan, P	9	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	2-4	2	1	1
3J.Winker, LF	1-1	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, PH	1-3	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
5I.Vargas, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
5I.Vargas, LF	2-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Millas, C	1-3	0	0	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0