Mets vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2023

Mets at Red Sox

11:10 pm • ESPN

New York Mets

8-9

1 - 6

Boston Red Sox

9-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bernardino			3.20	2-1
C.Carrasco			6.80	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	+1.5-160	o11+100	+115
Red Sox 9-7	-1.5+130	u11-120	-140

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

July 23, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 10.5-120

4.8u

Over 10.5-105

1.05u

BOS -145

Over 10.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -108

Mets vs. Red Sox: Expect Fireworks on Sunday Night Baseball
Tanner McGrath•
Jul 23, 2023 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Rafael Devers is batting .282 on breaking pitches since last season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. David Robertson has thrown his curveball 48% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.492 (172 PA's) when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 1.059 -- first Percentile.

Brennan Bernardino's K:BB ratio is 14.0 (14/1) vs left-handed batters this season -- 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.4 -- 97th Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .886 (31 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .433 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	NYM	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -120
Jul 22nd	NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 3.5	NYM +500
Jul 19th	@ATH	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jul 19th	@ATH	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATH -180
Jul 18th	@ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -160

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	58	2.1	2	5
RD.Smith, P	26	1.2	3	0
RT.Gott, P	14	1	1	0
LD.Peterson, P	14	1	2	0
RD.Leone, P	9	1	1	1
RA.Ottavino, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	1
3J.McNeil, RF	1-4	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-3	0	0
5M.Vientos, DH	0-3	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, PH	0-1	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-1	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-4	0	0
7M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0
8O.Narvaez, C	1-2	0	0
8T.Pham, PH	0-1	0	0
9D.Mendick, 2B	0-2	1	0
9F.Alvarez, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Bernardino, P	28	1.2	3	0
LC.Murphy, P	51	3.2	3	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	9	0.2	2	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	18	1	1	0
LJ.Jacques, P	12	0.2	0	0
RC.Martin, P	11	0.1	1	0
LB.Walter, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	0	0	0
2M.Yoshida, LF	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	2	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-3	1	1	1
5A.Duvall, RF	2-4	1	0	2
6T.Casas, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
7C.Wong, C	3-4	1	0	0
8E.Hernandez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
9Y. Chang, SS	1-3	0	0	1