Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2023

Nationals at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SNET

Washington Nationals

8-7

5 - 4

Toronto Blue Jays

9-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.65	11-12
M.Gore			4.42	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 8-7	+1.5-134	o8-120	+154
Blue Jays 9-6	-1.5+110	u8-105	-184

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

August 29, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

D.Jansen o0.5 RBI+135

0.5u

Bet365 6:58.

V. Guerrero Jr. o0.5 RBI+165

0.83u

Bet365 6:57.

WSH +1.5-130

WSH +154

0.77u

M.Gore u16.5 Outs-128

Ok with this at u15.5 outs at +100 (DK). Under in 6/L8 road starts (5.08 ERA on the road this season), and has stayed at less than 90 pitches in each of his 4 AUG starts. Obvious candidate to have his innings monitored (only ~90 IP last season, and already at 127 this year). Jays have kept 7/L10 lefty starters under this line at home. They have the 11th lowest chase rate this season, which should benefit them today - Gore’s zone% is in the bottom 30th percentile amongst pitchers with 50 IP.

J.Berrios u18.5 Outs-184

0.54u

Over 8.5-105

0.95u

Bet365 1:17.

Featured Insight
Blue Jays have struck out just 21% since last season -- fifth-lowest in MLB. NationalsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .707 over the last two weeks -- eighth-worst in MLB. Blue JaysRPs have allowed an OPS of just .673 (2,134 PAs) over the last two weeks -- seventh-best in MLB.

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2 Winning Systems Live Tonight With Picks
Alex Kolodziej•
Aug 29, 2023 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	TOR -260
Aug 27th	CLE	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -235
Aug 26th	CLE	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -180
Aug 25th	CLE	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -166
Aug 24th	@BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -110

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	106	5	2	1
RM.Thompson, P	23	1.2	2	1
RH.Harvey, P	26	1.1	0	1
RK.Finnegan, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	1	3
5D.Smith, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
6C. Kieboom, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
6A.Call, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7J. Alu, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7J. Alu, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P		92	6	2	5
RB.Francis, P		49	3	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2D.Schneider, 2B	2-5	1	1	2
2D.Schneider, 3B	2-5	1	1	2
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
4D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Merrifield, LF	1-4	1	0	0
5W.Merrifield, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6A.Kirk, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Clement, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Varsho, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Varsho, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	2-2	0	0	0
8C.Biggio, PH	1-1	2	0	0
8C.Biggio, 3B	1-1	2	0	0
8C.Biggio, SS	1-1	2	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-3	0	0	0