Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2023

Nationals at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

Washington Nationals

0-0

3 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Strider			3.86	20-5
J.Adon			6.45	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5+145	o9-106	+300
Braves 0-2	-1.5-175	u9-114	-375

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

September 30, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

S.Strider u5.5 Ks-112

$56.00

Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored 2.4 runs per game while trailing this season -- fourth-highest in MLB (121 games). The Braves have allowed 2.4 runs per game while leading this season -- tied for third-highest in MLB (137 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 21% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth-lowest in MLB. NationalsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-4 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .871 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Cory Abbott has allowed an OPS of .875 (387 PAs) since last season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .896 since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .780 (461 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (618/1,597) against Spencer Strider this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (274 SO in 738 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	WSH	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 10	WSH -264
Sep 28th	CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -142
Sep 27th	CHC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 26th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 24th	@WSH	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -295

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Adon, P	88	4	5	3
RJ.Weems, P	13	0.1	1	2
LJ.La Sorsa, P	16	0.1	1	0
RA. Machado, P	19	1.1	1	0
RC. Abbott, P	16	1	0	0
RT.Rainey, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-5	1	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-5	0	0
3K.Ruiz, C	2-5	1	1
4J.Meneses, DH	1-5	1	1
5L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	1-2	0	0
7C. Kieboom, 3B	0-4	0	0
8J. Alu, LF	0-3	0	0
8I.Vargas, PH	1-1	0	0
8I.Vargas, LF	1-1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	94	5	7	3
RP.Johnson, P	16	1	3	0
RK.Yates, P	9	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	17	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-3	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	1	3
6M.Harris, CF	2-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0