Nationals vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 25, 2024

Nationals at Padres

1:40 am • MASN2

Washington Nationals

12-15

6 - 7

San Diego Padres

17-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 12-15	+1.5	+1.5-130	o7.5-118	+157
Padres 17-10	u8	-1.5+110	u7.5-102	-187

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

June 25, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

P.Corbin u17.5 Outs-104

1.04u

Under in 9/15 starts. Typically relied on to eat innings, but with the Nats now in the thick of the wild card chase, and 5 relievers on at least 1+ days rest, I’m not sure they need to push him (which they haven’t lately - he’s been pulled in the sixth before reaching 90 pitches 4 times this season). Padres have been above avg vs lefties lately (111 wRC+ in the L30) with a strong sample size vs Corbin. Plus, 5/9 padres hitters above avg in pitches per PA.

SD -1.5+120

M.Machado o1.5 Total Bases+105

WSH u3.5 Team Total-141

1.41u

Under 8-117

M.Waldron u2.5 Earned Runs-135

0.74u

SD -200 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -215

Featured Insight
The Nationals are batting .314 with RISP over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .345 (10-for-29) against Padres RPs with RISP over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 3-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Padres' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	15-12	12-3	3-9	9-6	6-6
Nationals	13-14	9-5	4-9	1-4	12-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	10-16-1	4-10-1	6-6	5-9-1	5-7
Nationals	12-15	7-7	5-8	3-2	9-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	17-10	12-3	5-7	11-4	6-6
Nationals	12-15	8-6	4-9	2-3	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 23rd	MIL	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -140
Jun 22nd	MIL	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	SD +100
Jun 22nd	MIL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SD -162
Jun 21st	MIL	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	SD -118
Jun 19th	@PHI	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	SD +154

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	97	7	5	3
RD.Law, P	15	1.2	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	6	0.1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	24	0.2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	3-5	2	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	1-3	1	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	3-5	0	0	3
5E.Rosario, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	2-5	1	0	1
7N.Senzel, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
8L.Garcia, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	107	6	8	2
LA.Morejon, P	20	1	1	1
RJ.Estrada, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	17	1	0	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	22	0.2	1	2
LW.Peralta, P	2	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-5	0	2
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	2	0
5D.Solano, DH	2-4	2	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	2
7H.Kim, SS	1-3	2	1
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	0	2
8T.Wade, PH	0-0	0	0
9B.Johnson, RF	0-2	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0