Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 9, 2023

Nationals at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Washington Nationals

9-13

0 - 7

Philadelphia Phillies

13-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Lorenzen			3.58	5-7
M.Gore			4.42	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 9-13	+1.5-130	o9+100	+158
Phillies 13-9	-1.5+108	u9-120	-189

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 09, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 9-110

0.55u

Need -110

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- eighth-highest in MLB (276 games). The Nationals have allowed 3.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second-highest in MLB (276 games).

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Featured Insight
Nationals Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB. PhilliesRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- third-lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

31% of Bryson Stott strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 44% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Lane Thomas is batting .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (44/93) over the last 30 days (4 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .163 (17-for-104) against MacKenzie Gore's elevated fastball this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Phillies' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	12-10	8-5	4-5	9-8	3-2
Nationals	10-12	6-3	4-9	1-3	9-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	11-11	8-5	3-6	9-8	2-3
Nationals	12-10	7-2	5-8	3-1	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	13-9	9-4	4-5	10-7	3-2
Nationals	9-13	5-4	4-9	2-2	7-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 8th	WSH	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -196
Aug 8th	WSH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -292
Aug 6th	KC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -215
Aug 5th	KC	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -239
Aug 4th	KC	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -267

Brandon Marsh
OF
Marsh is out with hamstring
Out
Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	83	5	5	6
RC. Abbott, P	41	2	4	1
LR.Garcia, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Alu, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8B. Rutherford, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Call, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Lorenzen, P		124	9	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, DH	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	2	2	3
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
6R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Wilson, LF	1-1	3	1	1
8E.Sosa, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	1