Nationals vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2024

Nationals at Rays

10:50 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

10-9

1 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2
M.Parker			4.29	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 10-9	+1.5-142	o7.5-111	+154
Rays 8-9	-1.5+120	u7.5-109	-185

Friday 10:50 p.m.

June 28, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -162

$617.28

TB -162

0.62u

TB -160

Z.Eflin o4.5 Ks+114

2.28u

Z.Eflin o17.5 Outs-114

0.88u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

M.Parker u5.5 Hits Allowed-125

TB -152 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -175

WSH +127

TB -150

0.5u

Bet to -160

Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- fifth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have scored first in 58% of their games since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB. The Nationals have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Rays are 64-36 (.640) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Luis Garcia is batting .293 on breaking pitches since last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Zach Eflin has thrown his curveball 26% of the time since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 95 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 191 right-handed batters (1%) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 126 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	SEA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	SEA -112
Jun 25th	SEA	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TB +110
Jun 24th	SEA	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -115
Jun 23rd	@PIT	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +142
Jun 22nd	@PIT	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -105

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	92	5	5	2
RJ.Barnes, P	28	1	0	1
RD.Floro, P	16	1	2	0
RJ.Weems, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1C.Abrams, SS	0-2	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0
3J.Winker, LF	0-1	0
3I.Vargas, LF	1-3	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	0-3	0
5L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0
7E.Rosario, DH	1-4	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	0-4	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	93	6	6
RK.Kelly, P	16	1	1
RJ.Adam, P	9	1	2
RP.Fairbanks, P	22	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3A.Rosario, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3B.Lowe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Lowe, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Siri, CF	2-3	2	2	2
6J.DeLuca, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8T.Walls, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0