Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2024

Orioles at Blue Jays

5:07 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

1-1

5 - 6

Toronto Blue Jays

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
C.Povich			5.20	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 1-1	+1.5-196	o8.5-108	+110
Blue Jays 2-0	-1.5+162	u8.5-112	-130

Thursday 5:07 p.m.

June 06, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

BAL +110

TOR -125

BAL +0.5 (F5)-130

1.3u

Y.Kikuchi u17.5 Outs+115

Y.Kikuchi u17.5 Outs+125

Kikuchi under in 3/L4, including 4.1 IP vs BAL. Coming off two straight poor starts (8.1 IP, 17 H, 11 R) where his velocity on his secondary pitches was noticeably down. Now coming back on 4 days rest against a BAL team that has been solid against lefties all season (117 wRC+ and .748 OPS the L30, and 10/17 lefties under), and have a solid history against Kikuchi.

Featured Insight
Orioles have struck out just 20% over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last two weeks -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Bet the Total in Toronto
Tony Sartori•
Jun 6, 2024 UTC

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The Orioles are 50-3 (.943) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Ryan Mountcastle is batting .338 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Yusei Kikuchi has thrown a breaking pitch 43% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

Cedric Mullins has an OPS of just .695 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .546 (558 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	BAL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	TOR -115
Jun 4th	BAL	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 8	BAL +125
Jun 3rd	BAL	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL -105
Jun 2nd	PIT	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -179
Jun 1st	PIT	L 1-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -148

Max Scherzer
P
Scherzer is out with hamstring
Out
Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Povich, P	100	5.1	2	6
RD.Tate, P	11	0.2	1	0
LK.Akin, P	29	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	2-4	2	2	3
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Henderson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-3	1	0	0
7C.Norby, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7R.O'Hearn, PH	1-1	1	1	2
8J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Stowers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	89	6	6	1
RN.Pearson, P	13	1	1	0
RZ.Pop, P	19	1	1	2
RY.Garcia, P	18	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Schneider, LF	0-4	0	0	0
1K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2D.Jansen, C	0-3	1	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	2-3	1	1	3
4B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Springer, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Turner, DH	2-3	1	0	0
6C.Biggio, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6C.Biggio, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Varsho, CF	1-3	2	0	0
7D.Varsho, LF	1-3	2	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9E.Clement, 3B	1-3	1	0	2