Orioles vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2023

Orioles at Padres

1:40 am • MLB Network

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

3 - 10

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Wacha			3.22	14-4
J.Flaherty			6.75	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-207	o8.5-104	-109
Padres 4-3	-1.5+175	u8.5-116	-111

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

August 16, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

BAL +115

J.Flaherty o5.5 Ks-125

1.25u

6 righties in the Padres lineup - feeds into his better split. Been excellent since July 1 - and over this line in 4/L5.

SD -110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -114

SD -112

0.5u

Bet to -114

Over 8.5-105

$147.62

I am concerned about Michael Wacha, who is returning from the IL to start this game. While Wacha's changeup has been fine, he's throwing it too often, and his 4-seam and cut fastballs have been bad in terms of xwOBA. On the flip side, I also have reservations about Jack Flaherty, who has given up 10 walks and 5 home runs in his last 5 starts. Considering that the Padres are among the best teams in MLB at drawing walks and boast one of the lowest strikeout rates since July 1st, I anticipate a significant number of baserunners in this matchup. There's plenty of power in both lineups on a night with humidity in the upper 70's. Take the Over. ^Mclure (15-4 run + analysis)

J.Flaherty u17.5 Outs-110

Over 8-115

Featured Insight
The Padres are batting just .232 with RISP over the last week -- second-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .228 (121-for-531) against OriolesRPs with RISP over the last week -- seventh-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .277 with RISP over the last two weeks -- second-best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .270 (127-for-471) against PadresRPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- sixth-worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 15th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -144
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -149
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI +120
Aug 12th	@ARI	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 9	SD -172
Aug 10th	@SEA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SEA -155

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P	84	3	3	7
LN.Vespi, P	34	2	1	3
RS.Fujinami, P	11	1	1	0
RM.Baumann, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.McCann, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	0-5	0	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	1-5	0	0	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Westburg, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	2-4	0	0	1
7A.Hays, LF	2-4	1	1	1
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 1B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	77	5	5	0
RS.Wilson, P	24	1	0	1
RS.Barlow, P	24	2	2	0
RL.Garcia, P	33	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, CF	3-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	0-2	1	0	0
3J.Azocar, CF	1-1	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	2	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
7G.Sanchez, C	2-4	2	1	4
8G.Cooper, DH	1-3	1	0	1
8M.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Carpenter, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Gamel, RF	1-4	0	0	2
9B.Gamel, LF	1-4	0	0	2