Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Orioles at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

8-11

8 - 9

Boston Red Sox

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			4.30	6-5
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 8-11	+1.5-145	o9.5+100	+131
Red Sox 11-10	-1.5+120	u9.5-120	-156

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BAL +140

C.Sale u5.5 Hits Allowed-160

1.6u

Seems way too high considering Sale will likely be on a pretty strict pitch count today. They may extend him a bit if he’s looking sharp which would correlate with the under. Projecting him to stay under ~70% of the time

BAL +1.5-130

0.77u

BAL o3.5-135

0.74u

Fade Sale // SuperBook

A.Verdugo o0.5 HR+1060

1.06u

Bet at FanDuel. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

Over 9.5+100

Over 9+100

BOS -161

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The Red Sox were just 27-49 (.355) when underdogs in 2022 -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Orioles are just 45-92 (.328) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Red Sox were 31-34 (.477) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Orioles are just 47-96 (.329) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Rafael Devers had a miss rate of 26% on fastballs down last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Kyle Gibson located his fastball down 46% of the time last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 3rd, 2019 -- Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 68.

Opponents are hitting .219 (79-for-360) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes since the 2021 season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .167 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 18% (68/371) against Dean Kremer in 2022 -- 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- eighth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-10	4-4	7-6	7-7	4-3
Orioles	7-12	3-6	4-6	3-7	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	8-12-1	3-4-1	5-8	4-9-1	4-3
Orioles	11-5-3	6-1-2	5-4-1	7-1-2	4-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-10	5-3	6-7	8-6	3-4
Orioles	8-11	4-5	4-6	4-6	4-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL +129
Mar 26th	MIN	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9	MIN -165
Mar 25th	@TB	L 2-4	-	-	TB +154

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	56	3	3	5
RM.Baumann, P	16	1	0	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1	0
RA.Voth, P	22	1	1	1
LC.Perez, P	18	1	2	1
RL.Gillaspie, P	8	0.2	0	0
LK.Akin, P	2	0.1	0	0
RF.Bautista, P	15	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Urias, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
1A.Frazier, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	1	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
4A.Santander, DH	2-5	1	0	1
5A.Hays, RF	5-5	2	1	1
6G.Henderson, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Mateo, SS	0-4	1	0	1
8C.Mullins, CF	2-4	1	1	3
9R.McKenna, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	74	3	6	7
RZ.Kelly, P	16	1	0	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	28	2	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-5	1	1	2
1Y. Chang, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	2-4	1	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-5	1	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	4-5	3	2	5
6T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	1-2	2	1	1