Padres vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2023

Padres at Astros

11:10 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

4-3

5 - 7

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Javier			4.56	10-5
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-199	o9-115	+102
Astros 0-2	-1.5+165	u9-105	-120

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

September 09, 2023

Minute Maid ParkHouston

C.Javier u5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

SD +118

0.5u

Need +118

SD +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +106

Featured Insight
The Padres are batting just .237 with RISP over the last week -- tied for third-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .218 (110-for-505) against AstrosRPs with RISP over the last week -- third-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Padres have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third-lowest in MLB (180 games). The Astros have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB (195 games).

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Best Bets from Saturday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Sep 9, 2023 UTC

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The Astros are 35-11 (.761) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Jose Altuve has an OPS of .951 this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 210 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Tim Hill has allowed an OPS of .853 (196 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 37% of Cristian Javier's non-fastballs (380/1,026) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (66/248) against Cristian Javier on non-fastballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	SD	L 2-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -142
Sep 7th	@TEX	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	HOU +115
Sep 6th	@TEX	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -109
Sep 4th	@TEX	W 13-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	HOU -108
Sep 3rd	NYY	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY -140

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	90	4.1	2	6
RN.Martinez, P	21	0.2	0	1
LT.Cosgrove, P	25	2	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	0	0	0
6L.Campusano, C	2-3	2	0	1
7J.Profar, 1B	3-4	1	1	2
8M.Batten, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
9T.Grisham, CF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	82	4	5	4
RP.Maton, P	13	1	0	0
RK.Graveman, P	15	0.1	0	1
RH.Neris, P	8	0.2	0	0
RR.Montero, P	16	1	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	14	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	18	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	2-3	2	1	2
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	1-4	1	0	2
6J.Abreu, 1B	1-3	2	0	1
7M. Brantley, LF	2-4	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Dubon, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9M.Maldonado, C	1-4	0	0	1