Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Padres at Diamondbacks

12:10 am • ARID

San Diego Padres

15-5

13 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 15-5	-1.5	-1.5+160	o8.5-119	+100
Diamondbacks 12-8	u9	+1.5-192	u8.5-101	-120

Sunday 12:10 a.m.

May 05, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

SD +105

2.1u

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

... low humidity over less than 9.5 game 1 or 2 Overall: 488-319-24,60% (ROI:17%) Season:1-3-0,25% (ROI:-51%)

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-142

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

ARI -120

0.6u

Superbook. Bet to -130

ARI -114 (F5)

0.57u

Bet to -130

Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- second highest in MLB (32 games). The Padres have allowed 3.0 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (34 games).

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is slugging .542 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a SLG of .500 non-fastballs this season -- tied for fifth worst among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Luis Campusano is batting .375 with RISP this season -- 15th best among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- 89th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Brandon Pfaadt with RISP this season -- tied for eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 16th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	11-9	5-5	6-4	9-8	2-1
Padres	14-6	12-1	2-5	9-3	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	9-8-3	2-5-3	7-3	8-6-3	1-2
Padres	9-10-1	4-8-1	5-2	5-6-1	4-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	12-8	6-4	6-4	10-7	2-1
Padres	15-5	12-1	3-4	11-1	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SD	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	SD -102
May 2nd	LAD	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +120
May 1st	LAD	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI -105
Apr 30th	LAD	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 10	LAD +120
Apr 28th	@SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 6.5	ARI +120

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
IF
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	91	6	3	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	11	1	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	20	1	3	0
RS.Kolek, P	26	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	4-6	2	0	1
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	1-1	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-6	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	0	3
4E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4E.Rosario, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Profar, LF	3-4	2	1	2
5J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-5	2	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	2-4	2	0	1
8L.Campusano, C	1-4	2	0	2
9H.Kim, SS	1-5	1	1	4

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	89	6	4	3
LB.Hughes, P	18	0.1	0	4
RB.Jarvis, P	35	1.2	1	2
RS.McGough, P	22	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	0
1J.McCarthy, LF	1-3	0	0
2L.Gurriel, LF	1-3	0	0
2R.Grichuk, RF	0-1	0	0
3K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0
3P.Smith, 1B	0-1	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	0
4K.Newman, 2B	1-1	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	2-4	0	1
8C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	0-3	0	0